Caerphilly Athletic vs Swansea University — FAW Championship
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Caerphilly Athletic and Swansea University meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Caerphilly Athletic have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Swansea University have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 3.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 89%, and clean sheets at 56%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Caerphilly Athletic and 2.13 for Swansea University. The models give Caerphilly Athletic a 28% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Swansea University win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Caerphilly Athletic—
Swansea University10º
Position
1º
1.27
PPG
2.33
36%
Win %
67%
1.36
Goals / game
3.33
1.82
Conceded / game
1.22
58%
BTTS %
44%
25%
Clean sheet %
56%
75%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Caerphilly Athletic
Home (5)
—
Swansea University
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
2.20
40%
Win %
60%
1.60
Goals / game
3.20
1.60
Conceded / game
1.20
67%
BTTS %
40%
33%
Clean sheet %
60%
67%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Caerphilly Athletic | Home | Away | Swansea University | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 67% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Caerphilly Athletic | Home | Away | Swansea University | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 83% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 17% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caerphilly Athletic | Swansea University | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS | 58% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 44% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caerphilly Athletic | Swansea University | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 89% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Caerphilly Athletic (H)W
Chepstow Town1–0
Chepstow Town1–0W
Newport City3–2
Newport City3–2L
Pontypridd Town1–2
Pontypridd Town1–2L
Aberystwyth Town2–3
Aberystwyth Town2–3W
Ynyshir Albions2–1
Ynyshir Albions2–1D
Cardiff Draconians0–0
Cardiff Draconians0–0Swansea University (A)D
Afan Lido5–5
Afan Lido5–5DAberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0W
Caerau (Ely)5–1
Caerau (Ely)5–1W
Baglan Dragons3–0
Baglan Dragons3–0W
Llantwit Major3–0
Llantwit Major3–0W
Abercarn United2–1
Abercarn United2–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Caerphilly Athletic
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Swansea University
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
03/10/26Caerphilly Athletic
Swansea University
3–1Caerphilly Athletic| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Caerphilly Athletic- ●Caerphilly Athletic have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Swansea University- ●Swansea University have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Swansea University have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Swansea University have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Swansea University have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Swansea University have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Swansea University have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Caerphilly AthleticWACarmarthen Town3–1
Carmarthen Town3–1WHNewport City3–2
Newport City3–2LASwansea University1–3
Swansea University1–3LHPontypridd Town1–2
Pontypridd Town1–2LHAberystwyth Town2–3
Aberystwyth Town2–3DATrethomas Bluebirds2–2
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2–HCaerau (Ely)30/10
Caerau (Ely)30/10–AAfan Lido06/11
Afan Lido06/11–Hllanelli AFC20/11
llanelli AFC20/11Swansea UniversityDAAfan Lido5–5
Afan Lido5–5WHCaerphilly Athletic3–1
Caerphilly Athletic3–1DAAberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0WHPontardawe Town4–0
Pontardawe Town4–0DHPontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4WACaerau (Ely)5–1
Caerau (Ely)5–1–AYnyshir Albions31/10
Ynyshir Albions31/10–HCardiff Draconians07/11
Cardiff Draconians07/11–HTrethomas Bluebirds20/11
Trethomas Bluebirds20/11Top Scorers
Caerphilly AthleticF. Skiverton5 ⚽
D. Perrett4 ⚽
E. Humphries2 ⚽
T. Jordan2 ⚽
J. Evans1 ⚽
L. Reed1 ⚽
Swansea UniversityC. Coughlin6 ⚽
K. Copp6 ⚽
B. Gibbings5 ⚽
M. Kelly2 ⚽
J. Hughes1 ⚽
J. Lloyd1 ⚽