Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town — FAW Championship
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Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Aberystwyth Town have recorded 7 wins from 10 matches this season (70% win rate), averaging 2.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Pontypridd Town have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 2.55 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 91%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Aberystwyth Town and 1.71 for Pontypridd Town. The models give Aberystwyth Town a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Pontypridd Town win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Aberystwyth Town—
Pontypridd Town3º
Position
2º
2.11
PPG
1.91
67%
Win %
55%
2.44
Goals / game
2.55
1.00
Conceded / game
1.91
60%
BTTS %
91%
30%
Clean sheet %
0%
70%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aberystwyth Town
Home (6)
—
Pontypridd Town
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
3.00
0.67
Conceded / game
2.17
43%
BTTS %
100%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 71% | 100% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 43% | 100% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 60% | 43% | 100% | 55% | 40% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 29% | 0% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 57% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 14% | 67% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aberystwyth Town | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 55% |
| BTTS | 60% | 91% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 82% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aberystwyth Town | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Aberystwyth Town (H)W
Prestatyn Town5–1
Prestatyn Town5–1L
Caerau (Ely)0–1
Caerau (Ely)0–1D
Swansea University0–0
Swansea University0–0W
llanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0W
Pontardawe Town1–0
Pontardawe Town1–0W
Llantwit Major5–1
Llantwit Major5–1Pontypridd Town (A)D
Newport City4–4
Newport City4–4D
Baglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1W
Caerphilly Athletic2–1
Caerphilly Athletic2–1DSwansea University4–4
Swansea University4–4W
Cardiff Draconians4–1
Cardiff Draconians4–1W
Treowen Stars3–2
Treowen Stars3–2Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Aberystwyth Town
33%
4
Draws
33%
4
Pontypridd Town
33%
58%
Over 1.5
7/12
42%
Over 2.5
5/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
03/10/26Aberystwyth Town
Pontypridd Town
1–3Aberystwyth Town26/12/25Aberystwyth Town
Pontypridd Town
0–1Aberystwyth Town16/08/25Pontypridd Town
Aberystwyth Town
0–0Pontypridd Town21/04/24Pontypridd Town
Aberystwyth Town
3–0Pontypridd Town09/04/24Aberystwyth Town
Pontypridd Town
0–0Aberystwyth Town26/12/23Aberystwyth Town
Pontypridd Town
2–0Aberystwyth Town19/09/23Pontypridd Town
Aberystwyth Town
0–1Pontypridd Town29/08/23Pontypridd Town
Aberystwyth Town
0–1Pontypridd Town01/04/23Aberystwyth Town
Pontypridd Town
1–1Aberystwyth Town18/02/23Pontypridd Town
Aberystwyth Town
3–3Pontypridd Town18/11/22Pontypridd Town
Aberystwyth Town
2–1Pontypridd Town27/08/22Aberystwyth Town
Pontypridd Town
2–1Aberystwyth Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aberystwyth Town- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
Pontypridd Town- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Pontypridd Town's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Aberystwyth TownLHCaerau (Ely)0–1
Caerau (Ely)0–1WAPontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1DHSwansea University0–0
Swansea University0–0WACaerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2WHllanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0WHPontardawe Town1–0
Pontardawe Town1–0–HTrethomas Bluebirds31/10
Trethomas Bluebirds31/10–ACarmarthen Town07/11
Carmarthen Town07/11–ACardiff Draconians21/11
Cardiff Draconians21/11Pontypridd TownDANewport City4–4
Newport City4–4DABaglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1WHLlantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1LHAberystwyth Town1–3
Aberystwyth Town1–3WACaerphilly Athletic2–1
Caerphilly Athletic2–1LHAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1–Hllanelli AFC30/10
llanelli AFC30/10–ACaerau (Ely)06/11
Caerau (Ely)06/11–HCarmarthen Town20/11
Carmarthen Town20/11Top Scorers
Aberystwyth TownA. Williams6 ⚽
R. Hughes3 ⚽
L. Walsh2 ⚽
T. Evans2 ⚽
D. Browne2 ⚽
D. Owen2 ⚽
Pontypridd TownE. Edwards8 ⚽
E. Phipps2 ⚽
G. Tedstone2 ⚽
J. Bevan2 ⚽
J. Jones2 ⚽
J. Stephens2 ⚽
Cards Given
Aberystwyth TownL. Walsh2 🟨
Pontypridd TownL. Angel2 🟨