Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions — FAW Championship
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Ynyshir Albions meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Ynyshir Albions have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.62 for Ynyshir Albions. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ynyshir Albions win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Trethomas Bluebirds—
Ynyshir Albions7º
Position
6º
1.45
PPG
1.78
36%
Win %
44%
2.09
Goals / game
1.67
1.73
Conceded / game
1.00
79%
BTTS %
60%
7%
Clean sheet %
30%
79%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trethomas Bluebirds
Home (6)
—
Ynyshir Albions
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.17
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
57%
14%
Clean sheet %
29%
86%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 71% | 29% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 29% | 29% | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 14% | 20% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 86% | 100% | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 71% | 57% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 43% | 29% | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 14% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 10% |
| BTTS | 79% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 86% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 86% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Trethomas Bluebirds (H)W
Cardiff Draconians3–1
Cardiff Draconians3–1L
Pontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3D
Caerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2L
Caerau (Ely)2–4
Caerau (Ely)2–4D
Baglan Dragons0–0
Baglan Dragons0–0Ynyshir Albions (A)L
Cardiff MET0–4
Cardiff MET0–4W
Treowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0W
Newport City1–0
Newport City1–0LCaerphilly Athletic1–2
Caerphilly Athletic1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Trethomas Bluebirds
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
26/09/26Trethomas Bluebirds
Ynyshir Albions
1–1Trethomas Bluebirds28/03/26Trethomas Bluebirds
Ynyshir Albions
2–2Trethomas Bluebirds13/09/25Ynyshir Albions
Trethomas Bluebirds
4–1Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Trethomas Bluebirds- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Trethomas BluebirdsWHCardiff Draconians3–1
Cardiff Draconians3–1WATreowen Stars3–1
Treowen Stars3–1LHPontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3DAYnyshir Albions1–1
Ynyshir Albions1–1DHCaerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2WACarmarthen Town3–2
Carmarthen Town3–2–AAberystwyth Town31/10
Aberystwyth Town31/10–HLlantwit Major07/11
Llantwit Major07/11–ASwansea University20/11
Swansea University20/11Ynyshir AlbionsWHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WANewport City1–0
Newport City1–0–HSwansea University31/10
Swansea University31/10–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11–HLlantwit Major21/11
Llantwit Major21/11Top Scorers
Trethomas BluebirdsN. Ferreira7 ⚽
J. Thomas4 ⚽
J. Clarke1 ⚽
J. Hood1 ⚽
L. C. Jeanne1 ⚽
L. Rees1 ⚽
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Trethomas BluebirdsYnyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨