Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars — FAW Championship
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Llantwit Major and Treowen Stars meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Llantwit Major have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Treowen Stars have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Llantwit Major and 1.72 for Treowen Stars. The models give Llantwit Major a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Treowen Stars win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Llantwit Major—
Treowen Stars12º
Position
11º
1.10
PPG
1.30
30%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.90
2.10
Conceded / game
2.10
55%
BTTS %
80%
18%
Clean sheet %
20%
55%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Llantwit Major
Home (4)
—
Treowen Stars
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.80
25%
Win %
60%
0.75
Goals / game
2.20
1.25
Conceded / game
2.40
25%
BTTS %
80%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
25%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 75% | 86% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 25% | 57% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 25% | 57% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 25% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Llantwit Major | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 40% |
| BTTS | 55% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Llantwit Major | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Llantwit Major (H)D
Pontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1W
llanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Swansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3L
Cambrian & Clydach1–3
Cambrian & Clydach1–3L
Caerau (Ely)1–4
Caerau (Ely)1–4Treowen Stars (A)LPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6Wllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LCaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3W
Carmarthen Town4–2
Carmarthen Town4–2W
Aberystwyth Town2–1
Aberystwyth Town2–1L
Trefelin0–6
Trefelin0–6Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Llantwit Major
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Treowen Stars
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
12/09/26Llantwit Major
Treowen Stars
1–1Llantwit Major03/03/26Treowen Stars
Llantwit Major
3–2Treowen Stars01/11/25Llantwit Major
Treowen Stars
1–1Llantwit Major| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●64% of Llantwit Major's points have been earned away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Treowen Stars- ●Treowen Stars have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Llantwit MajorWACaerau (Ely)2–0
Caerau (Ely)2–0DHPontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1LAPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4WACarmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1WHllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0DATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1–HNewport City31/10
Newport City31/10–ATrethomas Bluebirds07/11
Trethomas Bluebirds07/11–HCardiff Draconians14/11
Cardiff Draconians14/11Treowen StarsLHTrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3LHYnyshir Albions1–2
Ynyshir Albions1–2LAPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6DHLlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WAllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LACaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3–ABaglan Dragons30/10
Baglan Dragons30/10–ANewport City06/11
Newport City06/11–HAfan Lido21/11
Afan Lido21/11Top Scorers
Llantwit MajorA. Roscrow3 ⚽
T. M. Stokes3 ⚽
T. Tweedy2 ⚽
C. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
C. Kinsella1 ⚽
Treowen StarsT. Hillman5 ⚽
C. Davies3 ⚽
T. Gameson3 ⚽
L. Oliver2 ⚽
M. Evans2 ⚽
J. Foxwell1 ⚽
Cards Given
Llantwit MajorTreowen StarsG. Meacham1 🟨
J. Evans1 🟨