Newport City vs Pontardawe Town — FAW Championship
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Newport City and Pontardawe Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Newport City have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Pontardawe Town have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Newport City and 1.55 for Pontardawe Town. The models give Newport City a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Pontardawe Town win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Newport City—
Pontardawe Town14º
Position
13º
1.00
PPG
1.11
22%
Win %
33%
1.78
Goals / game
1.67
1.44
Conceded / game
1.89
50%
BTTS %
45%
17%
Clean sheet %
9%
58%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newport City
Home (4)
—
Pontardawe Town
Away (6)
0.25
PPG
0.67
0%
Win %
17%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newport City | Home | Away | Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 55% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 20% | 57% | 36% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 20% | 43% | 27% | 67% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 60% | 29% | 45% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport City | Home | Away | Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 71% | 91% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 60% | 29% | 45% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 29% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 29% | 9% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport City | Pontardawe Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 36% |
| BTTS | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport City | Pontardawe Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 82% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Newport City (H)D
Pontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Carmarthen Town1–2
Carmarthen Town1–2L
Newport County0–5
Newport County0–5L
Trefelin0–5
Trefelin0–5Pontardawe Town (A)D
Llangennech1–1
Llangennech1–1D
Llantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1W
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2L
Swansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4L
Aberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1L
Afan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Newport City
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Pontardawe Town
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
15/08/26Newport City
Pontardawe Town
0–4Newport City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Newport City- ●Newport City have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Newport City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Newport City's goals have been scored away.
- ●89% of Newport City's points have been earned away.
- ●Newport City have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Pontardawe Town- ●Pontardawe Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Pontardawe Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Pontardawe Town have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Newport CityDHPontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4LACaerphilly Athletic2–3
Caerphilly Athletic2–3DACardiff Draconians1–1
Cardiff Draconians1–1DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0LHYnyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1LHBaglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1–ALlantwit Major31/10
Llantwit Major31/10–HTreowen Stars06/11
Treowen Stars06/11–ACaerau (Ely)20/11
Caerau (Ely)20/11Pontardawe TownDALlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WATrethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2WHTreowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1LASwansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4LAAberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1LAAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1–HCarmarthen Town31/10
Carmarthen Town31/10–Allanelli AFC06/11
llanelli AFC06/11–HBaglan Dragons21/11
Baglan Dragons21/11Top Scorers
Newport CityS. Johnson7 ⚽
T. Lynch2 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Norris1 ⚽
E. Bregua1 ⚽
R. Booth1 ⚽
Pontardawe TownJ. Dorward4 ⚽
J. Meacock3 ⚽
J. Stone2 ⚽
T. Evans1 ⚽
J. Barrow1 ⚽
T. Jones1 ⚽