Carmarthen Town vs Swansea University — FAW Championship
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Carmarthen Town and Swansea University meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Carmarthen Town have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 2.27 goals scored and 2.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Swansea University have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 3.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 89%, and clean sheets at 56%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Carmarthen Town and 2.51 for Swansea University. The models give Carmarthen Town a 27% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Swansea University win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 75%.
Season Statistics
Carmarthen Town—
Swansea University8º
Position
1º
1.36
PPG
2.33
36%
Win %
67%
2.09
Goals / game
3.33
2.18
Conceded / game
1.22
100%
BTTS %
44%
0%
Clean sheet %
56%
100%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Carmarthen Town
Home (7)
—
Swansea University
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
2.20
29%
Win %
60%
2.14
Goals / game
3.20
2.57
Conceded / game
1.20
100%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
60%
100%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | Swansea University | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 73% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 36% | 0% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | Swansea University | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 80% | 91% | 50% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 47% | 64% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carmarthen Town | Swansea University | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 | 80% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS | 100% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 100% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 44% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carmarthen Town | Swansea University | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 89% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 73% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Carmarthen Town (H)L
Caerphilly Athletic1–3
Caerphilly Athletic1–3L
Newport City4–5
Newport City4–5L
Llantwit Major1–2
Llantwit Major1–2D
Ynyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2L
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3L
Treowen Stars2–4
Treowen Stars2–4Swansea University (A)D
Afan Lido5–5
Afan Lido5–5D
Aberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0W
Caerau (Ely)5–1
Caerau (Ely)5–1W
Baglan Dragons3–0
Baglan Dragons3–0WLlantwit Major3–0
Llantwit Major3–0W
Abercarn United2–1
Abercarn United2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
4
Carmarthen Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Swansea University
0%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
0%
BTTS
0/4
10/03/23Carmarthen Town
Swansea University
0–5Carmarthen Town13/08/22Swansea University
Carmarthen Town
5–0Swansea University26/02/22Carmarthen Town
Swansea University
0–1Carmarthen Town28/08/21Swansea University
Carmarthen Town
2–0Swansea University| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Carmarthen Town- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●65% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Swansea University- ●Swansea University have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Swansea University have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Swansea University have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Swansea University have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Swansea University have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Swansea University have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Carmarthen TownLHCaerphilly Athletic1–3
Caerphilly Athletic1–3DACardiff Draconians2–2
Cardiff Draconians2–2LHLlantwit Major1–2
Llantwit Major1–2WABaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1DHYnyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2LHTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3–APontardawe Town31/10
Pontardawe Town31/10–HAberystwyth Town07/11
Aberystwyth Town07/11–APontypridd Town20/11
Pontypridd Town20/11Swansea UniversityDAAfan Lido5–5
Afan Lido5–5WHCaerphilly Athletic3–1
Caerphilly Athletic3–1DAAberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0WHPontardawe Town4–0
Pontardawe Town4–0DHPontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4WACaerau (Ely)5–1
Caerau (Ely)5–1–AYnyshir Albions31/10
Ynyshir Albions31/10–HCardiff Draconians07/11
Cardiff Draconians07/11–HTrethomas Bluebirds20/11
Trethomas Bluebirds20/11Top Scorers
Carmarthen TownL. Reed7 ⚽
7 ⚽
L. Thomas4 ⚽
H. Jones3 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽
J. Rickard1 ⚽
Swansea UniversityC. Coughlin6 ⚽
K. Copp6 ⚽
B. Gibbings5 ⚽
M. Kelly2 ⚽
J. Hughes1 ⚽
J. Lloyd1 ⚽
Cards Given
Carmarthen TownL. Thomas1 🟨
R. Jenkins1 🟨
Swansea University