Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Ynyshir Albions and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Ynyshir Albions have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Llantwit Major have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.20 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.41 for Llantwit Major. The models give Ynyshir Albions a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Llantwit Major win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Ynyshir Albions—
Llantwit Major6º
Position
12º
1.78
PPG
1.10
44%
Win %
30%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.10
60%
BTTS %
55%
30%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ynyshir Albions
Home (3)
—
Llantwit Major
Away (6)
2.33
PPG
1.17
67%
Win %
33%
2.67
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
2.67
67%
BTTS %
71%
33%
Clean sheet %
14%
33%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 71% | 73% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 29% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 29% | 27% | 50% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 71% | 82% | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 43% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 14% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% | 18% | 25% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ynyshir Albions | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 36% |
| BTTS | 60% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ynyshir Albions | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 70% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 82% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Ynyshir Albions (H)W
llanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2D
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1W
Cardiff Draconians1–0
Cardiff Draconians1–0D
Aberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0DTrethomas Bluebirds2–2
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2W
Newport City4–0
Newport City4–0Llantwit Major (A)W
Caerau (Ely)2–0
Caerau (Ely)2–0L
Trefelin1–4
Trefelin1–4L
Pontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4W
Carmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1D
Treowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Ynyshir Albions
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Llantwit Major
75%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
24/02/26Llantwit Major
Ynyshir Albions
2–3Llantwit Major25/10/25Ynyshir Albions
Llantwit Major
2–1Ynyshir Albions15/04/23Llantwit Major
Ynyshir Albions
3–1Llantwit Major01/10/22Ynyshir Albions
Llantwit Major
4–0Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●64% of Llantwit Major's points have been earned away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ynyshir AlbionsWHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WANewport City1–0
Newport City1–0–HSwansea University31/10
Swansea University31/10–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11–HLlantwit Major21/11
Llantwit Major21/11Llantwit MajorWACaerau (Ely)2–0
Caerau (Ely)2–0DHPontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1LAPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4WACarmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1WHllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0DATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1–HNewport City31/10
Newport City31/10–ATrethomas Bluebirds07/11
Trethomas Bluebirds07/11–HCardiff Draconians14/11
Cardiff Draconians14/11Top Scorers
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Llantwit MajorA. Roscrow3 ⚽
T. M. Stokes3 ⚽
T. Tweedy2 ⚽
C. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
C. Kinsella1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨
Llantwit Major