Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido — FAW Championship
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Treowen Stars and Afan Lido meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Treowen Stars have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Afan Lido have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Treowen Stars and 1.58 for Afan Lido. The models give Treowen Stars a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Afan Lido win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Treowen Stars—
Afan Lido11º
Position
9º
1.30
PPG
1.25
40%
Win %
33%
1.90
Goals / game
1.75
2.10
Conceded / game
1.83
80%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
43%
80%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Treowen Stars
Home (5)
—
Afan Lido
Away (6)
0.80
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
33%
1.60
Goals / game
1.33
1.80
Conceded / game
2.00
80%
BTTS %
57%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
80%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Treowen Stars | Home | Away | Afan Lido | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 79% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 40% | 80% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Treowen Stars | Home | Away | Afan Lido | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Treowen Stars | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 36% |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Treowen Stars | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Treowen Stars (H)L
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3L
Ynyshir Albions1–2
Ynyshir Albions1–2D
Llantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1W
Caerphilly Athletic3–0
Caerphilly Athletic3–0L
Pontypridd Town2–3
Pontypridd Town2–3W
Carmarthen Town4–1
Carmarthen Town4–1Afan Lido (A)W
llanelli AFC3–0
llanelli AFC3–0L
Caerau (Ely)0–2
Caerau (Ely)0–2WPontypridd Town1–0
Pontypridd Town1–0L
Baglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2LTrethomas Bluebirds2–5
Trethomas Bluebirds2–5LCarmarthen Town1–3
Carmarthen Town1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Treowen Stars
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Afan Lido
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
23/03/26Afan Lido
Treowen Stars
0–1Afan Lido09/08/25Treowen Stars
Afan Lido
0–4Treowen Stars| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Treowen Stars- ●Treowen Stars have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Afan Lido- ●Afan Lido have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Afan Lido have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Afan Lido have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Afan Lido have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Afan Lido's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Treowen StarsLHTrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3LHYnyshir Albions1–2
Ynyshir Albions1–2LAPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6DHLlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WAllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LACaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3–ABaglan Dragons30/10
Baglan Dragons30/10–ANewport City06/11
Newport City06/11–HAfan Lido21/11
Afan Lido21/11Afan LidoWAllanelli AFC3–0
llanelli AFC3–0DHSwansea University5–5
Swansea University5–5LACaerau (Ely)0–2
Caerau (Ely)0–2DHNewport City0–0
Newport City0–0WAPontypridd Town1–0
Pontypridd Town1–0LABaglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2–ACardiff Draconians31/10
Cardiff Draconians31/10–HCaerphilly Athletic06/11
Caerphilly Athletic06/11–ATreowen Stars21/11
Treowen Stars21/11Top Scorers
Treowen StarsT. Hillman5 ⚽
C. Davies3 ⚽
T. Gameson3 ⚽
L. Oliver2 ⚽
M. Evans2 ⚽
J. Foxwell1 ⚽
Afan LidoL. Griffiths5 ⚽
A. Giardelli5 ⚽
J. Pascoe2 ⚽
B. Roberts2 ⚽
C. Keetch2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Treowen StarsG. Meacham1 🟨
J. Evans1 🟨
Afan Lido