Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons — FAW Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Pontardawe Town and Baglan Dragons meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Pontardawe Town have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Baglan Dragons have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Pontardawe Town and 1.47 for Baglan Dragons. The models give Pontardawe Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Baglan Dragons win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Pontardawe Town—
Baglan Dragons13º
Position
5º
1.11
PPG
1.55
33%
Win %
45%
1.67
Goals / game
1.09
1.89
Conceded / game
1.09
45%
BTTS %
58%
9%
Clean sheet %
25%
64%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pontardawe Town
Home (3)
—
Baglan Dragons
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
60%
3.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
0.60
33%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | Baglan Dragons | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 50% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 67% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 67% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | Baglan Dragons | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 67% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 38% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontardawe Town | Baglan Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 36% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontardawe Town | Baglan Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontardawe Town (H)W
Treowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1L
Newport City0–4
Newport City0–4W
Caerphilly Athletic3–0
Caerphilly Athletic3–0L
Cambrian & Clydach0–3
Cambrian & Clydach0–3D
Carmarthen Town1–1
Carmarthen Town1–1D
Cwmbran Celtic3–3
Cwmbran Celtic3–3Baglan Dragons (A)W
Llantwit Fardre3–1
Llantwit Fardre3–1W
llanelli AFC2–1
llanelli AFC2–1L
Cardiff Draconians1–2
Cardiff Draconians1–2WNewport City1–0
Newport City1–0W
Llantwit Major1–0
Llantwit Major1–0D
Trethomas Bluebirds0–0
Trethomas Bluebirds0–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Pontardawe Town
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Baglan Dragons
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
20/04/24Pontardawe Town
Baglan Dragons
1–2Pontardawe Town29/07/23Baglan Dragons
Pontardawe Town
1–2Baglan Dragons17/09/22Pontardawe Town
Baglan Dragons
1–1Pontardawe Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pontardawe Town- ●Pontardawe Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Pontardawe Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Pontardawe Town have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Baglan Dragons- ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Baglan Dragons have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Baglan Dragons have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Baglan Dragons's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Baglan Dragons have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pontardawe TownDALlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WATrethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2WHTreowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1LASwansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4LAAberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1LAAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1–HCarmarthen Town31/10
Carmarthen Town31/10–Allanelli AFC06/11
llanelli AFC06/11–HBaglan Dragons21/11
Baglan Dragons21/11Baglan DragonsDHPontypridd Town1–1
Pontypridd Town1–1WAllanelli AFC2–1
llanelli AFC2–1LHCarmarthen Town1–2
Carmarthen Town1–2LACardiff Draconians1–2
Cardiff Draconians1–2WHAfan Lido2–1
Afan Lido2–1LHCaerphilly Athletic0–1
Caerphilly Athletic0–1–HTreowen Stars30/10
Treowen Stars30/10–HYnyshir Albions06/11
Ynyshir Albions06/11–APontardawe Town21/11
Pontardawe Town21/11Top Scorers
Pontardawe TownJ. Dorward4 ⚽
J. Meacock3 ⚽
J. Stone2 ⚽
T. Evans1 ⚽
J. Barrow1 ⚽
T. Jones1 ⚽
Baglan DragonsT. Jones6 ⚽
T. Davies4 ⚽
A. Dubjaga1 ⚽
A. Garland1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pontardawe TownBaglan DragonsK. Parsons1 🟨