Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town — FAW Championship
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Cardiff Draconians and Aberystwyth Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Cardiff Draconians have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Aberystwyth Town have won 70% of their 10 matches, with 2.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Cardiff Draconians and 2.18 for Aberystwyth Town. The models give Cardiff Draconians a 32% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Aberystwyth Town win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff Draconians—
Aberystwyth Town15º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.11
22%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
2.44
1.89
Conceded / game
1.00
80%
BTTS %
60%
10%
Clean sheet %
30%
70%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cardiff Draconians
Home (6)
—
Aberystwyth Town
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
3.00
33%
Win %
100%
1.83
Goals / game
3.67
2.17
Conceded / game
1.67
100%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 25% | 60% | 43% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 60% | 43% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 29% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 100% | 75% | 70% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 25% | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 43% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff Draconians | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff Draconians | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff Draconians (H)D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2D
Newport City1–1
Newport City1–1L
Caerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3W
Baglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1W
llanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2L
Pontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4Aberystwyth Town (A)WPontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1W
Caerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2D
Ynyshir Albions0–0
Ynyshir Albions0–0L
Cwmbran Celtic1–3
Cwmbran Celtic1–3L
Cambrian & Clydach0–2
Cambrian & Clydach0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Cardiff Draconians
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Aberystwyth Town
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
24/01/26Cardiff Draconians
Aberystwyth Town
3–2Cardiff Draconians06/09/25Aberystwyth Town
Cardiff Draconians
3–1Aberystwyth Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●92% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●89% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Aberystwyth Town- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
Cardiff DraconiansLATrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3DHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1WHllanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2–HAfan Lido31/10
Afan Lido31/10–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11–ALlantwit Major14/11
Llantwit Major14/11Aberystwyth TownLHCaerau (Ely)0–1
Caerau (Ely)0–1WAPontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1DHSwansea University0–0
Swansea University0–0WACaerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2WHllanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0WHPontardawe Town1–0
Pontardawe Town1–0–HTrethomas Bluebirds31/10
Trethomas Bluebirds31/10–ACarmarthen Town07/11
Carmarthen Town07/11–ACardiff Draconians21/11
Cardiff Draconians21/11Top Scorers
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley3 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Aberystwyth TownA. Williams6 ⚽
R. Hughes3 ⚽
L. Walsh2 ⚽
T. Evans2 ⚽
D. Browne2 ⚽
D. Owen2 ⚽
Cards Given
Cardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨
Aberystwyth TownL. Walsh2 🟨