Caerphilly Athletic vs llanelli AFC — FAW Championship
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Caerphilly Athletic and llanelli AFC meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Caerphilly Athletic have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. llanelli AFC have won 0% of their 14 matches, with 0.64 goals scored and 3.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.37 for Caerphilly Athletic and 1.29 for llanelli AFC. The models give Caerphilly Athletic a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an llanelli AFC win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Caerphilly Athletic—
llanelli AFC10º
Position
16º
1.27
PPG
0.17
36%
Win %
0%
1.36
Goals / game
0.75
1.82
Conceded / game
3.00
58%
BTTS %
43%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Caerphilly Athletic
Home (5)
—
llanelli AFC
Away (6)
1.40
PPG
0.00
40%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
0.67
1.60
Conceded / game
3.67
67%
BTTS %
25%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Caerphilly Athletic | Home | Away | llanelli AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 67% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 33% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Caerphilly Athletic | Home | Away | llanelli AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 93% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 64% | 33% | 88% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caerphilly Athletic | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 36% |
| BTTS | 58% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caerphilly Athletic | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 79% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 86% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 86% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 93% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Caerphilly Athletic (H)W
Chepstow Town1–0
Chepstow Town1–0W
Newport City3–2
Newport City3–2L
Pontypridd Town1–2
Pontypridd Town1–2L
Aberystwyth Town2–3
Aberystwyth Town2–3W
Ynyshir Albions2–1
Ynyshir Albions2–1D
Cardiff Draconians0–0
Cardiff Draconians0–0llanelli AFC (A)L
Caerau (Ely)0–6
Caerau (Ely)0–6LYnyshir Albions2–6
Ynyshir Albions2–6L
Llantwit Major0–2
Llantwit Major0–2LCaerau (Ely)0–3
Caerau (Ely)0–3LAberystwyth Town0–4
Aberystwyth Town0–4LCardiff Draconians2–4
Cardiff Draconians2–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Caerphilly Athletic- ●Caerphilly Athletic have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
llanelli AFC- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Caerphilly AthleticWACarmarthen Town3–1
Carmarthen Town3–1WHNewport City3–2
Newport City3–2LASwansea University1–3
Swansea University1–3LHPontypridd Town1–2
Pontypridd Town1–2LHAberystwyth Town2–3
Aberystwyth Town2–3DATrethomas Bluebirds2–2
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2–HCaerau (Ely)30/10
Caerau (Ely)30/10–AAfan Lido06/11
Afan Lido06/11–Hllanelli AFC20/11
llanelli AFC20/11llanelli AFCLHAfan Lido0–3
Afan Lido0–3LAYnyshir Albions2–6
Ynyshir Albions2–6LHBaglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2LALlantwit Major0–2
Llantwit Major0–2LACaerau (Ely)0–3
Caerau (Ely)0–3LHTreowen Stars0–2
Treowen Stars0–2–APontypridd Town30/10
Pontypridd Town30/10–HPontardawe Town06/11
Pontardawe Town06/11–ACaerphilly Athletic20/11
Caerphilly Athletic20/11Top Scorers
Caerphilly AthleticF. Skiverton5 ⚽
D. Perrett4 ⚽
E. Humphries2 ⚽
T. Jordan2 ⚽
J. Evans1 ⚽
L. Reed1 ⚽
llanelli AFCC. Salter2 ⚽
K. Whitmore2 ⚽
E. Morgan1 ⚽
L. Bevan1 ⚽
N. Crisan1 ⚽
Cards Given
Caerphilly Athleticllanelli AFCJ. Hall2 🟨