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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship

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Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
7º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 19h
vs
–
–
Llantwit Major
Llantwit Major
12º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 19h
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Llantwit Major have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.66 for Llantwit Major. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 49% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Llantwit Major win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 72%.

Season Statistics

Trethomas Bluebirds
—
Llantwit Major
7º
Position
12º
1.45
PPG
1.10
36%
Win %
30%
2.09
Goals / game
1.00
1.73
Conceded / game
2.10
79%
BTTS %
55%
7%
Clean sheet %
18%
79%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Trethomas Bluebirds
Home (6)
—
Llantwit Major
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.17
2.00
Conceded / game
2.67
71%
BTTS %
71%
14%
Clean sheet %
14%
86%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Trethomas BluebirdsHomeAwayLlantwit MajorHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%71%86%73%50%86%
Over 1.5 Scored50%71%29%27%25%29%
Over 2.5 Scored29%29%29%0%0%0%
Failed To Score21%29%14%27%50%14%

Goals Conceded

Trethomas BluebirdsHomeAwayLlantwit MajorHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded93%86%100%82%75%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded64%71%57%45%25%57%
Over 2.5 Conceded36%43%29%45%25%57%
Clean Sheets7%14%0%18%25%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Trethomas BluebirdsLlantwit Major
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.593%91%
Over 2.579%55%
Over 3.564%36%
Over 4.543%36%
BTTS79%55%
BTTS & Win29%9%
BTTS & Draw21%18%
BTTS & Over 2.564%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Trethomas BluebirdsLlantwit Major
Win 1st Half29%18%
Draw 1st Half29%27%
Loss 1st Half43%55%
Scored 1st Half57%45%
Conceded 1st Half86%82%
Win 2nd Half29%18%
Draw 2nd Half36%36%
Loss 2nd Half36%45%
Scored 2nd Half57%45%
Conceded 2nd Half64%45%
Over 0.5 HT93%100%
Over 1.5 HT86%64%

Recent Venue Form

Trethomas Bluebirds (H)
WCardiff Draconians3–1
LPontardawe Town2–3
DCaerphilly Athletic2–2
WAfan Lido5–2
LCaerau (Ely)2–4
DBaglan Dragons0–0
Llantwit Major (A)
WCaerau (Ely)2–0
LTrefelin1–4
LPontypridd Town1–4
WCarmarthen Town2–1
DTreowen Stars1–1
LAberystwyth Town1–5

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Trethomas Bluebirds
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Llantwit Major
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
05/12/25
Trethomas Bluebirds
2–2
Llantwit Major
06/09/25
Llantwit Major
2–1
Trethomas Bluebirds
27/09/24
Trethomas Bluebirds
1–1
Llantwit Major
27/07/24
Llantwit Major
0–1
Trethomas Bluebirds
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers121002+1730
1Swansea University9630+1921
2Newtown AFC11731+1524
2Pontypridd Town11632+721
3Porthmadog12723+623
3Aberystwyth Town9612+1319
4Mold Alexandra11632+1421
4Caerau (Ely)11614+219
5Bala Town12624+220
5Baglan Dragons11524017
6Caersws11542+719
6Ynyshir Albions9441+616
7Bangor City 1876 FC11533+618
7Trethomas Bluebirds11443+416
8Guilsfield12453+217
8Carmarthen Town11434-115
9Afan Lido12435-115
9Buckley Town12435+415
10Llanuwchllyn12435-715
10Caerphilly Athletic11425-514
11Treowen Stars10415-213
11Rhyl12264-212
12Holyhead Hotspur11326-511
12Llantwit Major10325-1111
13Denbigh Town11317-310
13Pontardawe Town9315-210
14Ruthin Town11236-119
14Newport City9234+39
15Cardiff Draconians9234-59
15Gresford Athletic10217-167
16llanelli AFC120210-272
16Penrhyncoch110110-291

Team Insights

Trethomas Bluebirds
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Llantwit Major
  • ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Llantwit Major have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●70% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
  • ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●64% of Llantwit Major's points have been earned away.
  • ●Llantwit Major have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
WACaerau (Ely)4º2–0
LATrefelin1–4
DHPontardawe Town13º1–1
LAPontypridd Town2º1–4
WACarmarthen Town8º2–1
WHllanelli AFC16º2–0
DATreowen Stars11º1–1
LHBaglan Dragons5º0–1
LAAfan Lido9º0–5

Season Schedule

Trethomas Bluebirds
WHCardiff Draconians3–1
WATreowen Stars3–1
LHPontardawe Town2–3
DAYnyshir Albions1–1
DHCaerphilly Athletic2–2
WACarmarthen Town3–2
–AAberystwyth Town31/10
–HLlantwit Major07/11
–ASwansea University20/11
Llantwit Major
WACaerau (Ely)2–0
DHPontardawe Town1–1
LAPontypridd Town1–4
WACarmarthen Town2–1
WHllanelli AFC2–0
DATreowen Stars1–1
–HNewport City31/10
–ATrethomas Bluebirds07/11
–HCardiff Draconians14/11

Top Scorers

Trethomas Bluebirds
N. Ferreira7 ⚽
J. Thomas4 ⚽
J. Clarke1 ⚽
J. Hood1 ⚽
L. C. Jeanne1 ⚽
L. Rees1 ⚽
Llantwit Major
A. Roscrow3 ⚽
T. M. Stokes3 ⚽
T. Tweedy2 ⚽
C. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
C. Kinsella1 ⚽