Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Llantwit Major have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.66 for Llantwit Major. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 49% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Llantwit Major win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 73% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 71% | 29% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 14% | 27% | 50% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 86% | 100% | 82% | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 71% | 57% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 43% | 29% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 14% | 0% | 18% | 25% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 36% |
| BTTS | 79% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 86% | 82% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 86% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 | |
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 | |
| 16 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 | |
| 16 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●64% of Llantwit Major's points have been earned away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.