Newport City vs Treowen Stars — FAW Championship
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Newport City and Treowen Stars meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Newport City have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Treowen Stars have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Newport City and 1.94 for Treowen Stars. The models give Newport City a 38% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Treowen Stars win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Newport City—
Treowen Stars14º
Position
11º
1.00
PPG
1.30
22%
Win %
40%
1.78
Goals / game
1.90
1.44
Conceded / game
2.10
50%
BTTS %
80%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
58%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newport City
Home (4)
—
Treowen Stars
Away (5)
0.25
PPG
1.80
0%
Win %
60%
1.25
Goals / game
2.20
2.00
Conceded / game
2.40
40%
BTTS %
80%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newport City | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 20% | 57% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 20% | 43% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 60% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport City | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 71% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 60% | 29% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport City | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 40% |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport City | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Newport City (H)D
Pontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Carmarthen Town1–2
Carmarthen Town1–2L
Newport County0–5
Newport County0–5L
Trefelin0–5
Trefelin0–5Treowen Stars (A)L
Pontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6W
llanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0L
Caerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3WCarmarthen Town4–2
Carmarthen Town4–2W
Aberystwyth Town2–1
Aberystwyth Town2–1LTrefelin0–6
Trefelin0–6Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Newport City
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Treowen Stars
100%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
20/03/26Treowen Stars
Newport City
2–3Treowen Stars29/11/25Newport City
Treowen Stars
2–0Newport City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Newport City- ●Newport City have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Newport City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Newport City's goals have been scored away.
- ●89% of Newport City's points have been earned away.
- ●Newport City have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Treowen Stars- ●Treowen Stars have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Newport CityDHPontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4LACaerphilly Athletic2–3
Caerphilly Athletic2–3DACardiff Draconians1–1
Cardiff Draconians1–1DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0LHYnyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1LHBaglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1–ALlantwit Major31/10
Llantwit Major31/10–HTreowen Stars06/11
Treowen Stars06/11–ACaerau (Ely)20/11
Caerau (Ely)20/11Treowen StarsLHTrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3LHYnyshir Albions1–2
Ynyshir Albions1–2LAPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6DHLlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WAllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LACaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3–ABaglan Dragons30/10
Baglan Dragons30/10–ANewport City06/11
Newport City06/11–HAfan Lido21/11
Afan Lido21/11Top Scorers
Newport CityS. Johnson7 ⚽
T. Lynch2 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Norris1 ⚽
E. Bregua1 ⚽
R. Booth1 ⚽
Treowen StarsT. Hillman5 ⚽
C. Davies3 ⚽
T. Gameson3 ⚽
L. Oliver2 ⚽
M. Evans2 ⚽
J. Foxwell1 ⚽
Cards Given
Newport CityTreowen StarsG. Meacham1 🟨
J. Evans1 🟨