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Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions — FAW Championship

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Wales · FAW Championship · South - 14
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
5º · 1.55 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 20d 6h
vs
–
–
Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
6º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 0h
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Baglan Dragons and Ynyshir Albions meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Baglan Dragons have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Ynyshir Albions have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Baglan Dragons and 1.46 for Ynyshir Albions. The models give Baglan Dragons a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ynyshir Albions win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Baglan Dragons
—
Ynyshir Albions
5º
Position
6º
1.55
PPG
1.78
45%
Win %
44%
1.09
Goals / game
1.67
1.09
Conceded / game
1.00
58%
BTTS %
60%
25%
Clean sheet %
30%
58%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Baglan Dragons
Home (6)
—
Ynyshir Albions
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
67%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Baglan DragonsHomeAwayYnyshir AlbionsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%67%83%80%100%71%
Over 1.5 Scored33%33%33%30%33%29%
Over 2.5 Scored17%17%17%10%33%0%
Failed To Score25%33%17%20%0%29%

Goals Conceded

Baglan DragonsHomeAwayYnyshir AlbionsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%100%50%70%67%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%33%17%40%33%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%17%0%10%0%14%
Clean Sheets25%0%50%30%33%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Baglan DragonsYnyshir Albions
Over 0.592%90%
Over 1.567%70%
Over 2.558%50%
Over 3.517%30%
Over 4.50%10%
BTTS58%60%
BTTS & Win33%20%
BTTS & Draw8%30%
BTTS & Over 2.550%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Baglan DragonsYnyshir Albions
Win 1st Half33%10%
Draw 1st Half42%70%
Loss 1st Half25%20%
Scored 1st Half42%30%
Conceded 1st Half50%40%
Win 2nd Half25%40%
Draw 2nd Half42%50%
Loss 2nd Half33%10%
Scored 2nd Half42%70%
Conceded 2nd Half50%50%
Over 0.5 HT67%50%
Over 1.5 HT42%40%

Recent Venue Form

Baglan Dragons (H)
DPontypridd Town1–1
LCarmarthen Town1–2
WAfan Lido2–1
LCaerphilly Athletic0–1
WCaerau (Ely)3–1
LSwansea University0–3
Ynyshir Albions (A)
LCardiff MET0–4
WTreowen Stars2–1
DCarmarthen Town2–2
DAfan Lido0–0
WNewport City1–0
LCaerphilly Athletic1–2

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Baglan Dragons
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
24/01/26
Ynyshir Albions
0–0
Baglan Dragons
07/11/25
Baglan Dragons
2–1
Ynyshir Albions
FAW Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers121002+1730
1Swansea University9630+1921
2Newtown AFC11731+1524
2Pontypridd Town11632+721
3Porthmadog12723+623
3Aberystwyth Town9612+1319
4Mold Alexandra11632+1421
4Caerau (Ely)11614+219
5Bala Town12624+220
5Baglan Dragons11524017
6Caersws11542+719
6Ynyshir Albions9441+616
7Bangor City 1876 FC11533+618
7Trethomas Bluebirds11443+416
8Guilsfield12453+217
8Carmarthen Town11434-115
9Afan Lido12435-115
9Buckley Town12435+415
10Llanuwchllyn12435-715
10Caerphilly Athletic11425-514
11Treowen Stars10415-213
11Rhyl12264-212
12Holyhead Hotspur11326-511
12Llantwit Major10325-1111
13Denbigh Town11317-310
13Pontardawe Town9315-210
14Ruthin Town11236-119
14Newport City9234+39
15Cardiff Draconians9234-59
15Gresford Athletic10217-167
16llanelli AFC120210-272
16Penrhyncoch110110-291

Team Insights

Baglan Dragons
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Baglan Dragons's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Ynyshir Albions
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
WALlantwit Fardre3–1
DHPontypridd Town2º1–1
WAllanelli AFC16º2–1
LHCarmarthen Town8º1–2
LACardiff Draconians15º1–2
WHAfan Lido9º2–1
LHCaerphilly Athletic10º0–1
WHCaerau (Ely)4º3–1
WANewport City14º1–0
WALlantwit Major12º1–0
Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions
LACardiff MET0–4
WHllanelli AFC16º6–2
WATreowen Stars11º2–1
DHTrethomas Bluebirds7º1–1
DACarmarthen Town8º2–2
DAAfan Lido9º0–0
WANewport City14º1–0
LACaerphilly Athletic10º1–2
DACaerau (Ely)4º1–1
WHCardiff Draconians15º1–0

Season Schedule

Baglan Dragons
DHPontypridd Town1–1
WAllanelli AFC2–1
LHCarmarthen Town1–2
LACardiff Draconians1–2
WHAfan Lido2–1
LHCaerphilly Athletic0–1
–HTreowen Stars30/10
–HYnyshir Albions06/11
–APontardawe Town21/11
Ynyshir Albions
WHllanelli AFC6–2
WATreowen Stars2–1
DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
DACarmarthen Town2–2
DAAfan Lido0–0
WANewport City1–0
–HSwansea University31/10
–ABaglan Dragons06/11
–HLlantwit Major21/11

Top Scorers

Baglan Dragons
T. Jones6 ⚽
T. Davies4 ⚽
A. Dubjaga1 ⚽
A. Garland1 ⚽
Ynyshir Albions
J. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽

Cards Given

Baglan Dragons
K. Parsons1 🟨
Ynyshir Albions
J. Norton2 🟨