Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC — FAW Championship
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Ynyshir Albions and llanelli AFC meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Ynyshir Albions have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. llanelli AFC have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 3.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.19 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.18 for llanelli AFC. The models give Ynyshir Albions a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an llanelli AFC win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Ynyshir Albions—
llanelli AFC10º
Position
15º
1.50
PPG
0.25
33%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.75
0.83
Conceded / game
2.88
50%
BTTS %
44%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ynyshir Albions
Home (1)
—
llanelli AFC
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.50
0.00
Conceded / game
3.50
0%
BTTS %
20%
100%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | llanelli AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 80% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 20% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | llanelli AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 0% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 40% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 25% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 100% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ynyshir Albions | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 44% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ynyshir Albions | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 83% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 78% |
| Scored 1st Half | 0% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 89% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 89% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 11% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 17% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Ynyshir Albions (H)W
Cardiff Draconians1–0
Cardiff Draconians1–0D
Aberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0D
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2W
Newport City4–0
Newport City4–0D
Treowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1L
Llantwit Major2–3
Llantwit Major2–3llanelli AFC (A)L
Caerau (Ely)0–3
Caerau (Ely)0–3LAberystwyth Town0–4
Aberystwyth Town0–4LCardiff Draconians2–4
Cardiff Draconians2–4L
Swansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3L
Haverfordwest County AFC0–8
Haverfordwest County AFC0–8LHaverfordwest County AFC0–6
Haverfordwest County AFC0–6Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
llanelli AFC
100%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
02/08/25llanelli AFC
Ynyshir Albions
1–4llanelli AFC10/04/23llanelli AFC
Ynyshir Albions
2–7llanelli AFC26/08/22Ynyshir Albions
llanelli AFC
1–0Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Porthmadog | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caersws | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Guilsfield | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Buckley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's points have been earned away.
llanelli AFC- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Ynyshir AlbionsDACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WANewport City1–0
Newport City1–0LACaerphilly Athletic1–2
Caerphilly Athletic1–2DACaerau (Ely)1–1
Caerau (Ely)1–1WHCardiff Draconians1–0
Cardiff Draconians1–0–HTrethomas Bluebirds26/09
Trethomas Bluebirds26/09–ATreowen Stars03/10
Treowen Stars03/10–Hllanelli AFC10/10
llanelli AFC10/10llanelli AFCLACaerau (Ely)0–3
Caerau (Ely)0–3LHTreowen Stars0–2
Treowen Stars0–2LAAberystwyth Town0–4
Aberystwyth Town0–4DHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2LACardiff Draconians2–4
Cardiff Draconians2–4LASwansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3–ALlantwit Major26/09
Llantwit Major26/09–HBaglan Dragons02/10
Baglan Dragons02/10–AYnyshir Albions10/10
Ynyshir Albions10/10Top Scorers
Ynyshir AlbionsA. Cartwright1 ⚽
C. Baker1 ⚽
D. Facey1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Haig1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
llanelli AFCC. Salter2 ⚽
L. Bevan1 ⚽
N. Crisan1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨
llanelli AFCJ. Hall2 🟨