Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Carmarthen Town and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 2 October 2026. Carmarthen Town have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 2.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Llantwit Major have won 0% of their 5 matches, with 0.40 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.38 for Carmarthen Town and 1.68 for Llantwit Major. The models give Carmarthen Town a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Llantwit Major win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Carmarthen Town—
Llantwit Major6º
Position
16º
1.57
PPG
0.20
43%
Win %
0%
2.43
Goals / game
0.40
2.29
Conceded / game
3.00
100%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Carmarthen Town
Home (5)
—
Llantwit Major
Away (3)
1.40
PPG
0.33
40%
Win %
0%
2.60
Goals / game
0.67
2.60
Conceded / game
3.67
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 90% | 88% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 100% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 80% | 88% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 63% | 0% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carmarthen Town | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 90% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS | 100% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 100% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carmarthen Town | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 80% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 100% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Carmarthen Town (H)D
Ynyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2L
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3L
Treowen Stars2–4
Treowen Stars2–4W
Afan Lido3–1
Afan Lido3–1W
Caerau (Ely)4–3
Caerau (Ely)4–3L
Briton Ferry2–3
Briton Ferry2–3Llantwit Major (A)DTreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1L
Aberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5LAfan Lido0–5
Afan Lido0–5DAberystwyth Town2–2
Aberystwyth Town2–2LAfan Lido1–4
Afan Lido1–4W
Cwmbran Celtic3–1
Cwmbran Celtic3–1Head to Head · 11 matches
4
Carmarthen Town
36%
3
Draws
27%
4
Llantwit Major
36%
55%
Over 1.5
6/11
27%
Over 2.5
3/11
9%
Over 3.5
1/11
27%
BTTS
3/11
30/01/26Llantwit Major
Carmarthen Town
1–1Llantwit Major16/08/25Carmarthen Town
Llantwit Major
0–0Carmarthen Town11/01/25Carmarthen Town
Llantwit Major
0–2Carmarthen Town25/10/24Llantwit Major
Carmarthen Town
0–1Llantwit Major20/04/24Llantwit Major
Carmarthen Town
0–3Llantwit Major29/07/23Carmarthen Town
Llantwit Major
1–2Carmarthen Town25/02/23Carmarthen Town
Llantwit Major
0–0Carmarthen Town02/08/22Llantwit Major
Carmarthen Town
4–1Llantwit Major23/07/22Carmarthen Town
Llantwit Major
0–2Carmarthen Town05/03/22Carmarthen Town
Llantwit Major
1–0Carmarthen Town27/07/21Llantwit Major
Carmarthen Town
0–1Llantwit Major| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Porthmadog | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caersws | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Guilsfield | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Buckley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 |  llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Carmarthen Town- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●76% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●73% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Carmarthen TownDHYnyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2LHTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3DAllanelli AFC2–2
llanelli AFC2–2LHTreowen Stars2–4
Treowen Stars2–4WHAfan Lido3–1
Afan Lido3–1WANewport City2–1
Newport City2–1–ABaglan Dragons25/09
Baglan Dragons25/09–HLlantwit Major02/10
Llantwit Major02/10–ACardiff Draconians10/10
Cardiff Draconians10/10Llantwit MajorDATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5LHBaglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1LAAfan Lido0–5
Afan Lido0–5LHSwansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3–Hllanelli AFC26/09
llanelli AFC26/09–ACarmarthen Town02/10
Carmarthen Town02/10–APontypridd Town06/10
Pontypridd Town06/10Top Scorers
Carmarthen Town7 ⚽
L. Thomas3 ⚽
L. Reed3 ⚽
H. Jones2 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽
D. Phillips1 ⚽
Llantwit MajorC. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
T. Tweedy1 ⚽
Cards Given
Carmarthen TownR. Jenkins1 🟨
Llantwit Major