Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship
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Pontypridd Town and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 6 October 2026. Pontypridd Town have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Llantwit Major have won 0% of their 5 matches, with 0.40 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Pontypridd Town and 1.40 for Llantwit Major. The models give Pontypridd Town a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Llantwit Major win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Pontypridd Town—
Llantwit Major4º
Position
16º
2.17
PPG
0.20
67%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
0.40
1.83
Conceded / game
3.00
83%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pontypridd Town
Home (3)
—
Llantwit Major
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.33
67%
Win %
0%
1.67
Goals / game
0.67
1.33
Conceded / game
3.67
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 67% | 100% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 83% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 67% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 33% | 0% | 60% | 100% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontypridd Town | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 67% | 40% |
| BTTS | 83% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 67% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 83% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontypridd Town | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 80% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 100% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontypridd Town (H)L
Afan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1W
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
Pontardawe Town3–2
Pontardawe Town3–2D
Caerau (Ely)0–0
Caerau (Ely)0–0L
Trefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3LLlantwit Major0–4
Llantwit Major0–4Llantwit Major (A)D
Treowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1L
Aberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5LAfan Lido0–5
Afan Lido0–5DAberystwyth Town2–2
Aberystwyth Town2–2LAfan Lido1–4
Afan Lido1–4W
Cwmbran Celtic3–1
Cwmbran Celtic3–1Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Pontypridd Town
20%
4
Draws
40%
4
Llantwit Major
40%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
40%
Over 2.5
4/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
06/03/26Llantwit Major
Pontypridd Town
0–4Llantwit Major11/10/25Pontypridd Town
Llantwit Major
2–0Pontypridd Town23/11/24Pontypridd Town
Llantwit Major
1–1Pontypridd Town07/09/24Llantwit Major
Pontypridd Town
1–1Llantwit Major12/02/22Pontypridd Town
Llantwit Major
3–1Pontypridd Town23/10/21Llantwit Major
Pontypridd Town
4–0Llantwit Major22/02/20Llantwit Major
Pontypridd Town
1–1Llantwit Major01/02/20Pontypridd Town
Llantwit Major
0–1Pontypridd Town23/03/19Llantwit Major
Pontypridd Town
1–1Llantwit Major09/02/19Pontypridd Town
Llantwit Major
4–3Pontypridd Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Porthmadog | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caersws | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Guilsfield | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Buckley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 |  llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pontypridd Town- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Pontypridd Town's goals have been scored away.
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●73% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Pontypridd TownLHAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1DASwansea University4–4
Swansea University4–4WHTrethomas Bluebirds2–1
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1WACardiff Draconians4–1
Cardiff Draconians4–1WHPontardawe Town3–2
Pontardawe Town3–2WATreowen Stars3–2
Treowen Stars3–2–ACaerphilly Athletic25/09
Caerphilly Athletic25/09–HAberystwyth Town03/10
Aberystwyth Town03/10–HLlantwit Major06/10
Llantwit Major06/10Llantwit MajorDATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5LHBaglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1LAAfan Lido0–5
Afan Lido0–5LHSwansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3–Hllanelli AFC26/09
llanelli AFC26/09–ACarmarthen Town02/10
Carmarthen Town02/10–APontypridd Town06/10
Pontypridd Town06/10Top Scorers
Pontypridd TownE. Edwards5 ⚽
E. Phipps2 ⚽
L. Angel2 ⚽
C. Farrah1 ⚽
J. Jones1 ⚽
K. Rowe1 ⚽
Llantwit MajorC. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
T. Tweedy1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pontypridd TownL. Angel2 🟨
Llantwit Major