Cardiff Draconians vs Pontardawe Town — FAW Championship
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Cardiff Draconians and Pontardawe Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Cardiff Draconians have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Pontardawe Town have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Cardiff Draconians and 1.48 for Pontardawe Town. The models give Cardiff Draconians a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Pontardawe Town win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff Draconians—
Pontardawe Town14º
Position
12º
1.20
PPG
1.30
30%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.70
1.70
Conceded / game
1.80
73%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
8%
64%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cardiff Draconians
Home (7)
—
Pontardawe Town
Away (6)
1.57
PPG
0.67
43%
Win %
17%
1.86
Goals / game
1.00
1.86
Conceded / game
2.00
86%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 57% | 25% | 42% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 14% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 86% | 75% | 92% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 57% | 25% | 42% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 14% | 25% | 8% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff Draconians | Pontardawe Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS | 73% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff Draconians | Pontardawe Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 83% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff Draconians (H)W
Afan Lido2–0
Afan Lido2–0D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2D
Newport City1–1
Newport City1–1L
Caerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3W
Baglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1W
llanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2Pontardawe Town (A)D
Llangennech1–1
Llangennech1–1D
Llantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1W
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2L
Swansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4L
Aberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1LAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 |  Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 | Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 |  Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●93% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●92% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Pontardawe Town- ●Pontardawe Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Pontardawe Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Pontardawe Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Pontardawe Town have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Cardiff DraconiansWHAfan Lido2–0
Afan Lido2–0LATrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3DHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11–ALlantwit Major14/11
Llantwit Major14/11–HAberystwyth Town21/11
Aberystwyth Town21/11Pontardawe TownWHCarmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1DALlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WATrethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2WHTreowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1LASwansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4LAAberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1–Allanelli AFC06/11
llanelli AFC06/11–HBaglan Dragons21/11
Baglan Dragons21/11–ANewport City27/11
Newport City27/11Top Scorers
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley3 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Pontardawe TownJ. Dorward4 ⚽
J. Meacock4 ⚽
J. Stone2 ⚽
L. Samuel2 ⚽
T. Jones1 ⚽
J. Farrell-Alli1 ⚽
Cards Given
Cardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨
Pontardawe Town