Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town — FAW Championship
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Ynyshir Albions and Aberystwyth Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Ynyshir Albions have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Aberystwyth Town have won 73% of their 11 matches, with 2.64 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.01 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.90 for Aberystwyth Town. The models give Ynyshir Albions a 40% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Aberystwyth Town win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Ynyshir Albions—
Aberystwyth Town5º
Position
2º
1.90
PPG
2.20
50%
Win %
70%
1.90
Goals / game
2.40
1.10
Conceded / game
1.00
64%
BTTS %
64%
27%
Clean sheet %
27%
55%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ynyshir Albions
Home (4)
—
Aberystwyth Town
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
3.00
75%
Win %
100%
3.00
Goals / game
3.67
1.25
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
100%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 71% | 82% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 29% | 64% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 50% | 0% | 55% | 38% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 29% | 18% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 75% | 71% | 73% | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 50% | 43% | 27% | 13% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 25% | 29% | 27% | 38% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ynyshir Albions | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 36% |
| BTTS | 64% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 55% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ynyshir Albions | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 73% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Ynyshir Albions (H)W
Swansea University4–2
Swansea University4–2W
llanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2D
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1W
Cardiff Draconians1–0
Cardiff Draconians1–0DAberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0DTrethomas Bluebirds2–2
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2Aberystwyth Town (A)W
Pontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1W
Caerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2DYnyshir Albions0–0
Ynyshir Albions0–0L
Cwmbran Celtic1–3
Cwmbran Celtic1–3L
Cambrian & Clydach0–2
Cambrian & Clydach0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Aberystwyth Town
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
18/04/26Aberystwyth Town
Ynyshir Albions
0–0Aberystwyth Town22/11/25Ynyshir Albions
Aberystwyth Town
4–0Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 |  Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 | Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Ynyshir Albions's goals have been scored at home.
Aberystwyth Town- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
Season Schedule
Ynyshir AlbionsWHSwansea University4–2
Swansea University4–2WHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11–HLlantwit Major21/11
Llantwit Major21/11–ATrethomas Bluebirds28/11
Trethomas Bluebirds28/11Aberystwyth TownWHTrethomas Bluebirds2–1
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1LHCaerau (Ely)0–1
Caerau (Ely)0–1WAPontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1DHSwansea University0–0
Swansea University0–0WACaerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2WHllanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0–ACarmarthen Town07/11
Carmarthen Town07/11–ACardiff Draconians21/11
Cardiff Draconians21/11–HPontypridd Town28/11
Pontypridd Town28/11Top Scorers
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Aberystwyth TownA. Williams7 ⚽
R. Hughes3 ⚽
L. Walsh3 ⚽
D. Browne2 ⚽
T. Evans2 ⚽
D. Owen2 ⚽
Cards Given
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨
Aberystwyth TownG. Sedgwick2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨