Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur — FAW Championship
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Rhyl and Holyhead Hotspur meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rhyl have recorded 2 wins from 14 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Holyhead Hotspur have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Rhyl and 1.70 for Holyhead Hotspur. The models give Rhyl a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Holyhead Hotspur win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Rhyl—
Holyhead Hotspur10º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
86%
BTTS %
62%
0%
Clean sheet %
8%
71%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Rhyl
Home (1)
—
Holyhead Hotspur
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
83%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Rhyl | Home | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 54% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Rhyl | Home | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 83% | 63% | 62% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 38% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rhyl | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 71% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 23% |
| BTTS | 86% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rhyl | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Rhyl (H)D
Newtown AFC2–2
Newtown AFC2–2L
Brickfield Rangers2–3
Brickfield Rangers2–3D
Buckley Town3–3
Buckley Town3–3L
Bala Town1–3
Bala Town1–3W
Caersws4–2
Caersws4–2D
Guilsfield1–1
Guilsfield1–1Holyhead Hotspur (A)WBuckley Town2–0
Buckley Town2–0WBala Town4–3
Bala Town4–3W
Denbigh Town4–2
Denbigh Town4–2L
Llanuwchllyn0–4
Llanuwchllyn0–4L
Mold Alexandra0–1
Mold Alexandra0–1W
Ruthin Town2–1
Ruthin Town2–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Rhyl
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Holyhead Hotspur
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
26/12/25Rhyl
Holyhead Hotspur
3–1Rhyl25/08/25Holyhead Hotspur
Rhyl
4–3Holyhead Hotspur| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Rhyl- ●Rhyl have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Rhyl have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Rhyl's goals have been scored at home.
Holyhead Hotspur- ●Holyhead Hotspur have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Holyhead Hotspur's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
RhylDHNewtown AFC2–2
Newtown AFC2–2DARuthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1LHBrickfield Rangers2–3
Brickfield Rangers2–3LAGresford Athletic1–3
Gresford Athletic1–3DHBuckley Town3–3
Buckley Town3–3DABangor City 1876 FC2–2
Bangor City 1876 FC2–2–AMold Alexandra31/10
Mold Alexandra31/10–HHolyhead Hotspur07/11
Holyhead Hotspur07/11–APenrhyncoch21/11
Penrhyncoch21/11Holyhead HotspurWABuckley Town2–0
Buckley Town2–0DHCaersws1–1
Caersws1–1WADenbigh Town4–2
Denbigh Town4–2LHGuilsfield0–2
Guilsfield0–2LHNewtown AFC0–1
Newtown AFC0–1LALlanuwchllyn0–4
Llanuwchllyn0–4–HPenrhyncoch31/10
Penrhyncoch31/10–ARhyl07/11
Rhyl07/11–HBala Town21/11
Bala Town21/11Top Scorers
RhylD. Cockerline5 ⚽
J. Jones4 ⚽
B. Lightfoot3 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Apantaku2 ⚽
M. Moore2 ⚽
Holyhead HotspurC. Owen5 ⚽
J. L. Williams3 ⚽
C. Jones1 ⚽
C. Whelan1 ⚽
J. Phillips1 ⚽
B. Davis1 ⚽
Cards Given
RhylR. Fairhurst1 🟨
Holyhead Hotspur