Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC — FAW Championship
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Mold Alexandra and Newtown AFC meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Mold Alexandra have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Newtown AFC have won 86% of their 7 matches, with 2.29 goals scored and 0.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 14%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 86%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Mold Alexandra and 1.71 for Newtown AFC. The models give Mold Alexandra a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Newtown AFC win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Mold Alexandra—
Newtown AFC8º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
2.00
Conceded / game
0.00
70%
BTTS %
14%
30%
Clean sheet %
86%
70%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mold Alexandra
Home (1)
—
Newtown AFC
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
2.00
Conceded / game
0.00
67%
BTTS %
0%
33%
Clean sheet %
100%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mold Alexandra | Home | Away | Newtown AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 75% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 17% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Mold Alexandra | Home | Away | Newtown AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 75% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mold Alexandra | Newtown AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 14% |
| BTTS | 70% | 14% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mold Alexandra | Newtown AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 86% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 0% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Mold Alexandra (H)D
Llanuwchllyn2–2
Llanuwchllyn2–2W
Bangor City 1876 FC2–1
Bangor City 1876 FC2–1W
Buckley Town1–0
Buckley Town1–0W
Holyhead Hotspur1–0
Holyhead Hotspur1–0D
Caersws2–2
Caersws2–2L
Airbus UK3–4
Airbus UK3–4Newtown AFC (A)WHolyhead Hotspur1–0
Holyhead Hotspur1–0W
Bala Town1–0
Bala Town1–0W
Gresford Athletic3–0
Gresford Athletic3–0W
Ruthin Town3–2
Ruthin Town3–2L
Holywell0–6
Holywell0–6LHolyhead Hotspur0–2
Holyhead Hotspur0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Mold Alexandra
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Newtown AFC
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
03/04/26Mold Alexandra
Newtown AFC
1–2Mold Alexandra08/11/25Newtown AFC
Mold Alexandra
1–3Newtown AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bala Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 4 |  Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Porthmadog | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | Caersws | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Guilsfield | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Buckley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 | Holyhead Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 |  llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 16 |  Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -23 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mold Alexandra- ●Mold Alexandra have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Mold Alexandra have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Mold Alexandra have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Mold Alexandra have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mold Alexandra have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mold Alexandra have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Mold Alexandra have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Newtown AFC- ●Newtown AFC have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Newtown AFC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Mold AlexandraDHLlanuwchllyn2–2
Llanuwchllyn2–2WAGresford Athletic5–1
Gresford Athletic5–1WHBangor City 1876 FC2–1
Bangor City 1876 FC2–1WARuthin Town4–0
Ruthin Town4–0WHBuckley Town1–0
Buckley Town1–0WHHolyhead Hotspur1–0
Holyhead Hotspur1–0–ABala Town26/09
Bala Town26/09–HNewtown AFC03/10
Newtown AFC03/10–ABrickfield Rangers10/10
Brickfield Rangers10/10Newtown AFCWAHolyhead Hotspur1–0
Holyhead Hotspur1–0WHDenbigh Town1–0
Denbigh Town1–0WABala Town1–0
Bala Town1–0WHLlanuwchllyn4–0
Llanuwchllyn4–0DHGuilsfield1–1
Guilsfield1–1WHPenrhyncoch5–0
Penrhyncoch5–0–HPorthmadog26/09
Porthmadog26/09–AMold Alexandra03/10
Mold Alexandra03/10–HBangor City 1876 FC10/10
Bangor City 1876 FC10/10Top Scorers
Mold AlexandraL. Hogan4 ⚽
O. Cordiner3 ⚽
M. Roberts2 ⚽
A. Farren2 ⚽
K. Owens1 ⚽
L. Gregson1 ⚽
Newtown AFCJ. Hyne5 ⚽
J. W. Astley2 ⚽
J. Harries1 ⚽
H. Boakye1 ⚽
M. Evans1 ⚽
M. Osei1 ⚽