Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga
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Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bayern München have recorded 12 wins from 17 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 3.24 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 94%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Borussia Dortmund have won 61% of their 18 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 3.14 for Bayern München and 1.42 for Borussia Dortmund. The models give Bayern München a 66% win probability, with a draw at 18% and an Borussia Dortmund win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Bayern München—
Borussia Dortmund2º
Position
1º
2.33
PPG
2.43
67%
Win %
71%
3.67
Goals / game
1.71
0.83
Conceded / game
0.57
76%
BTTS %
50%
24%
Clean sheet %
39%
94%
Over 2.5 %
61%
8.7
Avg corners
7.8
22.5
Avg shots
16.4
9.3
Avg shots on target
5.8
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
9.7
Avg fouls
10.9
65.4%
Avg possession
55.1%
Home vs Away
Bayern München
Home (3)
—
Borussia Dortmund
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.33
100%
Win %
67%
6.00
Goals / game
1.33
0.67
Conceded / game
0.67
71%
BTTS %
45%
29%
Clean sheet %
36%
100%
Over 2.5 %
55%
8.7
Avg corners
7.8
22.5
Avg shots
16.4
9.3
Avg shots on target
5.8
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
65.4%
Avg possession
55.1%
Goals Scored
| Bayern München | Home | Away | Borussia Dortmund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 90% | 83% | 100% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 80% | 56% | 71% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 53% | 71% | 40% | 33% | 29% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Bayern München | Home | Away | Borussia Dortmund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 71% | 80% | 61% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 14% | 40% | 39% | 57% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 29% | 20% | 39% | 43% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 94% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 47% | 22% |
| BTTS | 76% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 53% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 76% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 59% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 59% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Bayern München (H)D
Arsenal2–2
Arsenal2–2W
RB Leipzig6–1
RB Leipzig6–1W
Union Berlin7–0
Union Berlin7–0W
Bodo/Glimt5–0
Bodo/Glimt5–0W
VfB Stuttgart5–1
VfB Stuttgart5–1WRB Leipzig3–1
RB Leipzig3–1Borussia Dortmund (A)W
Sabah FA2–1
Sabah FA2–1DUnion Berlin0–0
Union Berlin0–0LBodo/Glimt0–1
Bodo/Glimt0–1WVfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0W
1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2W
HEBC5–0
HEBC5–0Number of Corners
11.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.7
61 games
12.1
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 92% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 82% | 83% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 73% | 83% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 73% | 67% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 55% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 33% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.7 | 7.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 91% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 91% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 42% |
Head to Head · 49 matches
27
Bayern München
55%
9
Draws
18%
13
Borussia Dortmund
27%
84%
Over 1.5
41/49
65%
Over 2.5
32/49
49%
Over 3.5
24/49
59%
BTTS
29/49
22/08/26Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
1–2Bayern München28/02/26Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2–3Bayern München18/10/25Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
2–1Borussia Dortmund12/04/25Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
2–2Borussia Dortmund30/11/24Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
1–1Bayern München30/03/24Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
0–2Borussia Dortmund04/11/23Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
0–4Bayern München01/04/23Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
4–2Borussia Dortmund08/10/22Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2–2Bayern München23/04/22Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
3–1Borussia Dortmund04/12/21Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2–3Bayern München17/08/21Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
1–3Bayern München06/03/21Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
4–2Borussia Dortmund07/11/20Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2–3Bayern München30/09/20Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2–3Bayern München26/05/20Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
0–1Bayern München09/11/19Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
4–0Borussia Dortmund03/08/19Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2–0Bayern München06/04/19Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
5–0Borussia Dortmund10/11/18Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3–2Bayern München| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
Bayern München- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bayern München have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●82% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.
Borussia Dortmund- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Borussia Dortmund's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Bayern MünchenWHRB Leipzig6–1
RB Leipzig6–1DAFC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2WHUnion Berlin7–0
Union Berlin7–0WASV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1DAFC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0WHVfB Stuttgart5–1
VfB Stuttgart5–1–ASC Freiburg25/10
SC Freiburg25/10–HBorussia Dortmund31/10
Borussia Dortmund31/10–AFSV Mainz 0507/11
FSV Mainz 0507/11Borussia DortmundWHEintracht Frankfurt1–0
Eintracht Frankfurt1–0DAUnion Berlin0–0
Union Berlin0–0DHWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2WAVfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0WHSC Paderborn 073–0
SC Paderborn 073–0WA1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2–ABayern München31/10
Bayern München31/10–HSV Elversberg07/11
SV Elversberg07/11–ABorussia Mönchengladbach21/11
Borussia Mönchengladbach21/11Top Scorers
Bayern MünchenHarry Kane10 ⚽
Michael Olise7 ⚽
Luis Díaz4 ⚽
L. Diaz4 ⚽
F. Chavez3 ⚽
N. Brown3 ⚽
Borussia DortmundSerhou Guirassy5 ⚽
S. Guirassy3 ⚽
Fábio Silva3 ⚽
Maximilian Beier2 ⚽
Felix Nmecha2 ⚽
F. Silva2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bayern MünchenKonrad Laimer2 🟨
Michael Olise2 🟨
Dayot Upamecano2 🟨
H. Ito1 🟨
Kim Min-Jae1 🟨
Ismael Saibari1 🟨
Borussia DortmundR. Ritter3 🟨
Waldemar Anton2 🟨
Jobe Bellingham2 🟨
Joey Veerman2 🟨
Kouakou Joane Gadou2 🟨
J. Ryerson1 🟨