Real Murcia vs Alcorcon — Primera División RFEF - Group 2
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Real Murcia and Alcorcon meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Real Murcia have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Alcorcon have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Real Murcia and 0.91 for Alcorcon. The models give Real Murcia a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alcorcon win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Real MurciaAlcorconHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Alcorcon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 80% | 64% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 36% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 20% | 36% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Alcorcon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 40% | 91% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 60% | 9% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Murcia | Alcorcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Murcia | Alcorcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 58% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Murcia (H)
Zaragoza0–0
Gimnastic2–0
Europa Fc2–1
Teruel4–0
Eldense2–1Eldense3–0Alcorcon (A)Teruel0–1
Real Madrid II2–1
Antequera1–1
Águilas2–2
Unionistas de Salamanca0–1
Mérida AD1–2Head to Head · 5 matches
Real MurciaAlcorconReal MurciaAlcorconAlcorcon| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  FC Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Real Jaén | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ibiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hércules | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Madrid II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Antequera | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Gimnastic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Atlético Madrid II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sant Andreu | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Águilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Teruel | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Real Murcia- ●Real Murcia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Murcia have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Real Murcia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Real Murcia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Real Murcia's goals conceded were conceded away.
Alcorcon- ●Alcorcon have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●64% of Alcorcon's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Alcorcon have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real MurciaJuventud Torremolinos0–1Zaragoza0–0Rayo Majadahonda1–0FC Cartagena0–1Gimnastic2–0Europa Fc2–1Antequera01/11Algeciras08/11Alcorcon15/11AlcorconHuesca1–1Teruel0–1Juventud Torremolinos5–0Real Madrid II2–1Gimnastic3–0Antequera1–1Ibiza25/10Atlético Madrid II30/10Real Jaén07/11Top Scorers
Real MurciaAlcorconCards Given
Real MurciaAlcorcon