Real Murcia vs Algeciras — Primera División RFEF - Group 2
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Real Murcia and Algeciras meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Real Murcia have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Algeciras have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Real Murcia and 0.98 for Algeciras. The models give Real Murcia a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Algeciras win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Real Murcia—
Algeciras3º
Position
13º
1.78
PPG
1.25
56%
Win %
38%
1.22
Goals / game
1.38
0.89
Conceded / game
1.63
50%
BTTS %
78%
25%
Clean sheet %
22%
56%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Murcia
Home (4)
—
Algeciras
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
0.75
75%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
1.50
0.25
Conceded / game
2.25
40%
BTTS %
100%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Algeciras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 80% | 64% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 36% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 20% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Murcia | Home | Away | Algeciras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 40% | 91% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 18% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 60% | 9% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Murcia | Algeciras | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 50% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Murcia | Algeciras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Murcia (H)D
Zaragoza0–0
Zaragoza0–0W
Gimnastic2–0
Gimnastic2–0W
Europa Fc2–1
Europa Fc2–1W
Teruel4–0
Teruel4–0W
Eldense2–1
Eldense2–1WEldense3–0
Eldense3–0Algeciras (A)LEuropa Fc1–2
Europa Fc1–2W
Juventud Torremolinos2–1
Juventud Torremolinos2–1LGimnastic2–4
Gimnastic2–4L
Villarreal II1–2
Villarreal II1–2L
Atlético Madrid II1–3
Atlético Madrid II1–3W
Sanluqueño1–0
Sanluqueño1–0Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Real Murcia
50%
2
Draws
25%
2
Algeciras
25%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
13%
Over 2.5
1/8
0%
Over 3.5
0/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
25/01/26Algeciras
Real Murcia
0–2Algeciras28/09/25Real Murcia
Algeciras
1–0Real Murcia24/05/25Algeciras
Real Murcia
2–1Algeciras16/11/24Real Murcia
Algeciras
1–1Real Murcia07/04/24Real Murcia
Algeciras
0–1Real Murcia15/10/23Algeciras
Real Murcia
1–0Algeciras19/01/20Real Murcia
Algeciras
0–1Real Murcia01/09/19Algeciras
Real Murcia
1–1Algeciras| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  FC Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Real Jaén | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ibiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hércules | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Antequera | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Gimnastic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Algeciras | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sant Andreu | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Juventud Torremolinos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Teruel | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Real Murcia- ●Real Murcia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Murcia have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Real Murcia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Real Murcia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Real Murcia's goals conceded were conceded away.
Algeciras- ●Algeciras have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Algeciras have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Algeciras have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Algeciras have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Algeciras have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●69% of Algeciras's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Algeciras have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Algeciras have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real MurciaLAJuventud Torremolinos0–1
Juventud Torremolinos0–1DHZaragoza0–0
Zaragoza0–0WARayo Majadahonda1–0
Rayo Majadahonda1–0LAFC Cartagena0–1
FC Cartagena0–1WHGimnastic2–0
Gimnastic2–0WHEuropa Fc2–1
Europa Fc2–1–AAntequera01/11
Antequera01/11–HAlgeciras08/11
Algeciras08/11–HAlcorcon15/11
Alcorcon15/11AlgecirasWHHércules2–0
Hércules2–0LAEuropa Fc1–2
Europa Fc1–2WHRayo Majadahonda1–0
Rayo Majadahonda1–0WAJuventud Torremolinos2–1
Juventud Torremolinos2–1DHÁguilas1–1
Águilas1–1LAGimnastic2–4
Gimnastic2–4–HReal Madrid II25/10
Real Madrid II25/10–AReal Jaén02/11
Real Jaén02/11–AReal Murcia08/11
Real Murcia08/11Top Scorers
Real MurciaJ. Moreno Sanchez3 ⚽
A. Meca3 ⚽
A. Gimenez3 ⚽
J. Jorquera Romero3 ⚽
D. Bosilj3 ⚽
J. Mier2 ⚽
AlgecirasJ. Garcia2 ⚽
J. Aviles2 ⚽
R. Rubio2 ⚽
F. Carmona1 ⚽
O. Castro1 ⚽
I. Turrillo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real Murcia8 🟨
J. Mier7 🟨
Joao Pedro Palmberg3 🟨
M. Errahaly2 🟨
H. Perez2 🟨
A. Bustos2 🟨
AlgecirasF. Carmona5 🟨
T. Sanchez5 🟨
O. Castro4 🟨
V. Ruiz3 🟨
I. Turrillo2 🟨
A. Gomez2 🟨