Atlético Madrid II vs Real Jaén — Primera División RFEF - Group 2
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Atlético Madrid II and Real Jaén meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atlético Madrid II have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Real Jaén have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Atlético Madrid II and 1.33 for Real Jaén. The models give Atlético Madrid II a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real Jaén win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Atlético Madrid IIReal JaénHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atlético Madrid | Home | Away | Real Jaén | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Madrid | Home | Away | Real Jaén | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Madrid | Real Jaén | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Madrid | Real Jaén | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 90% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Madrid (H)
Zaragoza4–4
Villarreal II1–3
Real Murcia4–0
Juventud Torremolinos2–2
Mirandes1–2
Ponferradina0–1Real Jaén (A)
Hércules0–0
Antequera0–2
Teruel1–0
Europa Fc3–0
Cacereño1–1
Atlético Baleares2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  FC Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Real Jaén | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ibiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Hércules | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Antequera | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Gimnastic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sant Andreu | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Juventud Torremolinos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Teruel | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Atlético Madrid- ●Atlético Madrid II have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Atlético Madrid II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Atlético Madrid II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atlético Madrid II have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Atlético Madrid II's goals have been scored at home.
Real Jaén- ●Real Jaén have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Jaén have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Jaén have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Real Jaén's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Real Jaén's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Atlético MadridGimnastic1–2Zaragoza4–4Real Madrid II2–3Villarreal II1–3Huesca0–0Real Murcia4–0Real Jaén25/10Alcorcon30/10Europa Fc08/11Real JaénRayo Majadahonda1–0Villarreal II3–3Hércules0–0Antequera0–2Ibiza2–1Teruel1–0Atlético Madrid II25/10Algeciras02/11Alcorcon07/11Top Scorers
Atlético MadridReal JaénCards Given
Atlético MadridReal Jaén