Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor — Super League
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Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi·Navoiy·Uzbekistan·15,000
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Qizilqum and Pakhtakor meet in the Super League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Qizilqum have recorded 9 wins from 26 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 0.96 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Pakhtakor have won 47% of their 38 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.99 for Qizilqum and 1.46 for Pakhtakor. The models give Qizilqum a 24% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pakhtakor win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Qizilqum—
Pakhtakor12º
Position
2º
1.08
PPG
2.36
31%
Win %
71%
0.77
Goals / game
1.86
1.38
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
61%
31%
Clean sheet %
26%
38%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
7.3
0.0
Avg shots
16.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
0.0
Avg fouls
9.3
0.0%
Avg possession
51.0%
Home vs Away
Qizilqum
Home (7)
—
Pakhtakor
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
2.67
29%
Win %
83%
0.86
Goals / game
1.67
1.71
Conceded / game
0.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
7.3
0.0
Avg shots
16.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
0.0%
Avg possession
51.0%
Goals Scored
| Qizilqum | Home | Away | Pakhtakor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 67% | 50% | 82% | 89% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 21% | 45% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Qizilqum | Home | Away | Pakhtakor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 33% | 36% | 26% | 39% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 29% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Qizilqum | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 11% |
| BTTS | 38% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Qizilqum | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 58% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Qizilqum (H)D
Lokomotiv1–1
Lokomotiv1–1D
Surkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0W
Buxoro3–2
Buxoro3–2W
Nasaf1–0
Nasaf1–0W
Mash'al2–0
Mash'al2–0L
Dinamo Samarqand1–2
Dinamo Samarqand1–2Pakhtakor (A)W
Xorazm1–0
Xorazm1–0L
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–1D
Navbahor1–1
Navbahor1–1WMash'al2–1
Mash'al2–1D
Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1
Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1W
Olmaliq3–1
Olmaliq3–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Qizilqum | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 67% |
Head to Head · 30 matches
1
Qizilqum
3%
3
Draws
10%
26
Pakhtakor
87%
80%
Over 1.5
24/30
57%
Over 2.5
17/30
40%
Over 3.5
12/30
37%
BTTS
11/30
27/02/26Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
2–0Qizilqum19/10/25Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
3–0Qizilqum18/05/25Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
0–3Pakhtakor26/10/24Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
2–0Pakhtakor25/05/24Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
1–1Qizilqum29/08/23Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
2–3Pakhtakor10/04/23Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
3–1Qizilqum07/11/22Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
6–0Qizilqum23/06/22Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
0–2Pakhtakor16/10/21Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
4–2Qizilqum19/05/21Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
0–1Pakhtakor12/12/20Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
1–0Qizilqum18/10/20Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
3–1Qizilqum25/06/20Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
0–2Pakhtakor30/07/19Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
0–5Pakhtakor21/06/19Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
8–0Qizilqum18/07/18Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
1–2Pakhtakor12/04/18Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
2–1Qizilqum06/08/17Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
1–1Pakhtakor03/03/17Qizilqum
Pakhtakor
3–1Qizilqum| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | +20 | 56 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 | Olmaliq | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Nasaf | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +14 | 42 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 42 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +8 | 40 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 |  Andijan | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Kokand-1912 | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 26 | 1 | 1 | 24 | -41 | 4 |
Team Insights
Qizilqum- ●Qizilqum have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Qizilqum have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Qizilqum have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Qizilqum have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Qizilqum failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Qizilqum have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Pakhtakor- ●Pakhtakor have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have been undefeated in their last 13 away matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pakhtakor failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have won 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
QizilqumDAKokand-19120–0
Kokand-19120–0DHLokomotiv1–1
Lokomotiv1–1WAAndijan1–0
Andijan1–0DHSurkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0WAXorazm3–1
Xorazm3–1LADinamo Samarqand0–1
Dinamo Samarqand0–1–HNavbahor07/11
Navbahor07/11–AOlmaliq20/11
Olmaliq20/11–HPakhtakor28/11
Pakhtakor28/11PakhtakorWAXorazm1–0
Xorazm1–0LHNeftchi1–3
Neftchi1–3DANavbahor1–1
Navbahor1–1WHBunyodkor3–1
Bunyodkor3–1WAMash'al2–1
Mash'al2–1WAOlmaliq3–1
Olmaliq3–1–HKokand-191208/11
Kokand-191208/11–ALokomotiv20/11
Lokomotiv20/11–AQizilqum28/11
Qizilqum28/11Top Scorers
QizilqumO. Jurakuziev5 ⚽
I. Kenzhaboev4 ⚽
J. Jigauri4 ⚽
S. Rakhmatullaev3 ⚽
A. Muzaffarov2 ⚽
N. Nematkhonov1 ⚽
PakhtakorD. Khamdamov12 ⚽
Flamarion7 ⚽
B. Resan4 ⚽
R. Turdimurodov4 ⚽
S. Chinedu3 ⚽
Z. Tahseen3 ⚽
Cards Given
QizilqumG. Rizakulov5 🟨
J. Jigauri4 🟨
B. Bozorov4 🟨
Maykon Douglas4 🟨
F. Jumankuziev4 🟨
A. Gafurov3 🟨
PakhtakorZ. Tahseen8 🟨
S. Sobirkhuzhaev5 🟨
A. Buriev4 🟨
I. Ibrokhimov4 🟨
K. Alizhonov4 🟨
A. Mozgovoy3 🟨