Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand — Super League
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Neftchi and Dinamo Samarqand meet in the Super League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Neftchi have recorded 24 wins from 37 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Dinamo Samarqand have won 33% of their 30 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Neftchi and 1.12 for Dinamo Samarqand. The models give Neftchi a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Dinamo Samarqand win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Dinamo Samarqand | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 94% | 80% | 87% | 92% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 71% | 55% | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 41% | 30% | 13% | 15% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 6% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Dinamo Samarqand | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 59% | 55% | 87% | 85% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 18% | 30% | 50% | 46% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 6% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 41% | 45% | 13% | 15% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 13% |
| BTTS | 49% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Neftchi | Dinamo Samarqand |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +37 | 58 | |
| 2 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | +19 | 53 | |
| 3 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 46 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +4 | 42 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 41 | |
| 6 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 41 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 | |
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 34 | |
| 9 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 26 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 23 | |
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | -38 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Neftchi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have won 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.