Fredrikstad vs Aalesund — Eliteserien
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Fredrikstad and Aalesund meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Fredrikstad have recorded 15 wins from 38 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Aalesund have won 36% of their 39 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Fredrikstad and 1.53 for Aalesund. The models give Fredrikstad a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Aalesund win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Fredrikstad—
Aalesund11º
Position
14º
1.16
PPG
0.96
32%
Win %
20%
1.16
Goals / game
1.72
1.76
Conceded / game
2.28
68%
BTTS %
82%
16%
Clean sheet %
10%
58%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.3
Avg corners
5.3
11.9
Avg shots
15.5
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.3
10.7
Avg fouls
13.0
48.6%
Avg possession
43.1%
Home vs Away
Fredrikstad
Home (12)
—
Aalesund
Away (12)
1.50
PPG
1.00
42%
Win %
25%
1.17
Goals / game
1.33
1.25
Conceded / game
1.92
72%
BTTS %
86%
17%
Clean sheet %
5%
50%
Over 2.5 %
81%
4.3
Avg corners
5.3
11.9
Avg shots
15.5
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.3
48.6%
Avg possession
43.1%
Goals Scored
| Fredrikstad | Home | Away | Aalesund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 80% | 92% | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 33% | 40% | 59% | 72% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 17% | 15% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Fredrikstad | Home | Away | Aalesund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 83% | 85% | 90% | 83% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 28% | 60% | 54% | 61% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 6% | 35% | 28% | 39% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 17% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fredrikstad | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 36% |
| BTTS | 68% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fredrikstad | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Fredrikstad (H)L
Rosenborg0–3
Rosenborg0–3D
Tromso1–1
Tromso1–1D
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1L
Bodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2W
Kristiansund BK1–0
Kristiansund BK1–0W
Sandefjord1–0
Sandefjord1–0Aalesund (A)WKristiansund BK2–0
Kristiansund BK2–0LSarpsborg 08 FF1–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2WKristiansund BK4–1
Kristiansund BK4–1W
Molde2–1
Molde2–1W
Førde4–3
Førde4–3L
KFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
10.9
200 games
13.2
Corners / Match
25 games
| Match Corners | Fredrikstad | Aalesund | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 96% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 92% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 48% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 32% | 68% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 52% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 40% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fredrikstad | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 7.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 96% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 84% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Fredrikstad
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Aalesund
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
100%
Over 3.5
4/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
07/04/26Fredrikstad
Aalesund
2–3Fredrikstad22/02/26Fredrikstad
Aalesund
2–3Fredrikstad06/11/21Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2–2Aalesund12/06/21Fredrikstad
Aalesund
2–2Fredrikstad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +20 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +18 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromso | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -29 | 19 |
Team Insights
Fredrikstad- ●Fredrikstad have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●66% of Fredrikstad's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Aalesund- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●63% of Aalesund's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Aalesund have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FredrikstadLHRosenborg0–3
Rosenborg0–3LAMolde1–5
Molde1–5LAViking2–3
Viking2–3DHTromso1–1
Tromso1–1DAValerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1DHSarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1–HBrann08/11
Brann08/11–AHam-Kam21/11
Ham-Kam21/11–HAalesund29/11
Aalesund29/11AalesundLHSandefjord3–4
Sandefjord3–4LASarpsborg 08 FF1–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2WAKristiansund BK4–1
Kristiansund BK4–1LHSarpsborg 08 FF2–4
Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4WAMolde2–1
Molde2–1LAKFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2–ALillestrom08/11
Lillestrom08/11–HRosenborg22/11
Rosenborg22/11–AFredrikstad29/11
Fredrikstad29/11Top Scorers
FredrikstadH. Skogvold6 ⚽
O. Ohlenschlaeger5 ⚽
F. Holme4 ⚽
B. Faraas4 ⚽
Bryan Fiabema3 ⚽
D. Eid3 ⚽
AalesundK. Lonebu7 ⚽
M. Christensen7 ⚽
H. Melland5 ⚽
E. Osenbroch5 ⚽
Mathias Christensen5 ⚽
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen3 ⚽
Cards Given
Fredrikstad8 🟨
Max Nilsson5 🟨
Daniel Eid4 🟨
Fredrik Holmé3 🟨
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem3 🟨
Eirik Granaas3 🟨
AalesundMarius Andresen5 🟨
Mathias Christensen4 🟨
Ólafur Gudmundsson4 🟨
Aleksander Kjelsen3 🟨
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson3 🟨
M. Christensen3 🟨