Lillestrom vs Aalesund — Eliteserien
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Lillestrom and Aalesund meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Lillestrom have recorded 20 wins from 46 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Aalesund have won 38% of their 37 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Lillestrom and 1.72 for Aalesund. The models give Lillestrom a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Aalesund win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Lillestrom—
Aalesund6º
Position
14º
1.57
PPG
1.04
48%
Win %
22%
1.39
Goals / game
1.70
1.35
Conceded / game
2.22
54%
BTTS %
81%
24%
Clean sheet %
11%
61%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.3
Avg corners
5.3
12.6
Avg shots
15.8
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.1
Avg fouls
13.1
51.2%
Avg possession
44.0%
Home vs Away
Lillestrom
Home (11)
—
Aalesund
Away (11)
1.45
PPG
1.09
45%
Win %
27%
1.73
Goals / game
1.36
1.55
Conceded / game
1.91
75%
BTTS %
85%
13%
Clean sheet %
5%
83%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.3
Avg corners
5.3
12.6
Avg shots
15.8
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
51.2%
Avg possession
44.0%
Goals Scored
| Lillestrom | Home | Away | Aalesund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 88% | 55% | 92% | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 58% | 41% | 59% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 29% | 14% | 22% | 12% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 13% | 45% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Lillestrom | Home | Away | Aalesund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 88% | 64% | 89% | 82% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 63% | 27% | 51% | 59% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 14% | 27% | 35% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 13% | 36% | 11% | 18% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lillestrom | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 35% |
| BTTS | 54% | 81% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lillestrom | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 66% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Lillestrom (H)L
Real Sociedad0–6
Real Sociedad0–6D
Molde2–2
Molde2–2L
Torreense1–2
Torreense1–2W
Valerenga2–0
Valerenga2–0L
Fredrikstad1–4
Fredrikstad1–4W
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1Aalesund (A)W
Kristiansund BK4–1
Kristiansund BK4–1WMolde2–1
Molde2–1W
Førde4–3
Førde4–3L
KFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2L
Viking1–2
Viking1–2W
Langevag13–0
Langevag13–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
10.9
186 games
12.7
Corners / Match
23 games
| Match Corners | Lillestrom | Aalesund | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 79% | 96% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 68% | 91% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 78% | 54% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 65% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 48% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 35% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lillestrom | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 7.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 96% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 54% | 83% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
6
Lillestrom
50%
3
Draws
25%
3
Aalesund
25%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
58%
Over 2.5
7/12
50%
Over 3.5
6/12
67%
BTTS
8/12
15/03/26Lillestrom
Aalesund
1–3Lillestrom10/08/25Aalesund
Lillestrom
5–1Aalesund31/03/25Lillestrom
Aalesund
2–2Lillestrom03/09/23Lillestrom
Aalesund
1–1Lillestrom19/07/23Aalesund
Lillestrom
5–1Aalesund06/11/22Lillestrom
Aalesund
2–1Lillestrom29/06/22Aalesund
Lillestrom
1–0Aalesund28/04/22Aalesund
Lillestrom
2–0Aalesund30/10/17Aalesund
Lillestrom
4–0Aalesund17/04/17Lillestrom
Aalesund
3–1Lillestrom31/07/16Lillestrom
Aalesund
2–0Lillestrom21/04/16Aalesund
Lillestrom
1–1Aalesund| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 56 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 |  Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 | 16 |
Team Insights
Lillestrom- ●Lillestrom failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Lillestrom have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lillestrom have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lillestrom have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Aalesund- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Aalesund have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●62% of Aalesund's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
LillestromWASandefjord2–0
Sandefjord2–0DHMolde2–2
Molde2–2LAViking0–3
Viking0–3WHValerenga2–0
Valerenga2–0WABrann2–1
Brann2–1LHFredrikstad1–4
Fredrikstad1–4–HBrann25/10
Brann25/10–AStart01/11
Start01/11–HAalesund08/11
Aalesund08/11AalesundWAKristiansund BK4–1
Kristiansund BK4–1LHSarpsborg 08 FF2–4
Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4WAMolde2–1
Molde2–1LAKFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2WHStart2–0
Start2–0LAViking1–2
Viking1–2–ASarpsborg 08 FF25/10
Sarpsborg 08 FF25/10–HSandefjord31/10
Sandefjord31/10–ALillestrom08/11
Lillestrom08/11Top Scorers
Lillestrom9 ⚽
G. Nyheim8 ⚽
Felix Va7 ⚽
T. Olsen6 ⚽
L. Ranger5 ⚽
K. Arierhi5 ⚽
AalesundM. Christensen7 ⚽
K. Lonebu7 ⚽
H. Melland5 ⚽
E. Osenbroch5 ⚽
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen3 ⚽
J. Orsahl3 ⚽
Cards Given
LillestromYlldren Ibrahimaj5 🟨
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim4 🟨
G. Nyheim3 🟨
Felix Vá3 🟨
Fredrik Gulbrandsen3 🟨
H. Woxen3 🟨
AalesundMarius Andresen4 🟨
Mathias Christensen4 🟨
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson3 🟨
Aleksander Kjelsen3 🟨
M. Christensen3 🟨
O. Gudmundsson3 🟨