Valerenga vs Tromso — Eliteserien
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Valerenga and Tromso meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Valerenga have recorded 14 wins from 35 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Tromso have won 49% of their 39 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Valerenga and 1.80 for Tromso. The models give Valerenga a 42% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tromso win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Valerenga—
Tromso8º
Position
5º
1.21
PPG
1.74
33%
Win %
48%
1.63
Goals / game
1.83
1.92
Conceded / game
1.35
63%
BTTS %
46%
17%
Clean sheet %
41%
63%
Over 2.5 %
49%
6.8
Avg corners
4.8
16.5
Avg shots
13.0
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.9
Avg fouls
11.7
48.5%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Valerenga
Home (12)
—
Tromso
Away (11)
1.42
PPG
1.36
42%
Win %
36%
1.92
Goals / game
1.82
1.67
Conceded / game
1.91
70%
BTTS %
59%
15%
Clean sheet %
24%
75%
Over 2.5 %
65%
6.8
Avg corners
4.8
16.5
Avg shots
13.0
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
48.5%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Valerenga | Home | Away | Tromso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 85% | 73% | 74% | 73% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 55% | 27% | 46% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 34% | 50% | 13% | 23% | 23% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 15% | 27% | 26% | 27% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Valerenga | Home | Away | Tromso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 85% | 80% | 59% | 45% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 55% | 60% | 28% | 9% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 5% | 35% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 15% | 20% | 41% | 55% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Valerenga | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 26% |
| BTTS | 63% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Valerenga | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 66% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Valerenga (H)W
Brann3–1
Brann3–1D
Fredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1L
Molde3–4
Molde3–4L
Bodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2L
Ham-Kam0–3
Ham-Kam0–3W
Aalesund6–1
Aalesund6–1Tromso (A)DFredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1W
Alta2–1
Alta2–1L
Rosenborg3–5
Rosenborg3–5L
Kristiansund BK0–2
Kristiansund BK0–2L
Brighton0–4
Brighton0–4W
Ulfstind5–0
Ulfstind5–0Number of Corners
12.9
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
10.9
186 games
9.0
Corners / Match
29 games
| Match Corners | Valerenga | Tromso | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 96% | 76% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 69% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 79% | 48% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 34% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 75% | 31% | 54% |
| Over 11 | 67% | 21% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 54% | 21% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 50% | 14% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Valerenga | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.8 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 96% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 83% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 34% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
9
Valerenga
43%
6
Draws
29%
6
Tromso
29%
67%
Over 1.5
14/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
33%
Over 3.5
7/21
43%
BTTS
9/21
11/07/26Valerenga
Tromso
4–0Valerenga04/10/25Tromso
Valerenga
1–0Tromso31/05/25Valerenga
Tromso
2–1Valerenga15/03/25Tromso
Valerenga
1–4Tromso01/05/24Tromso
Valerenga
1–0Tromso17/03/24Tromso
Valerenga
3–1Tromso03/12/23Tromso
Valerenga
1–1Tromso09/07/23Valerenga
Tromso
0–0Valerenga21/08/22Tromso
Valerenga
1–0Tromso12/05/22Valerenga
Tromso
1–0Valerenga21/11/21Tromso
Valerenga
1–1Tromso15/08/21Valerenga
Tromso
1–1Valerenga02/05/21Tromso
Valerenga
3–4Tromso10/11/19Valerenga
Tromso
0–0Valerenga14/04/19Tromso
Valerenga
4–1Tromso19/08/18Tromso
Valerenga
3–0Tromso21/05/18Valerenga
Tromso
3–0Valerenga14/08/17Tromso
Valerenga
0–0Tromso03/06/17Valerenga
Tromso
2–4Valerenga23/10/16Valerenga
Tromso
0–3Valerenga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 56 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 | 16 |
Team Insights
Valerenga- ●Valerenga have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Valerenga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
Tromso- ●Tromso have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Tromso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tromso have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tromso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tromso have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Tromso failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Tromso have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Tromso have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●68% of Tromso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ValerengaWABodo/Glimt1–0
Bodo/Glimt1–0WHBrann3–1
Brann3–1LAKFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2DHFredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1LALillestrom0–2
Lillestrom0–2DASarpsborg 08 FF2–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF2–2–HTromso01/11
Tromso01/11–AKristiansund BK07/11
Kristiansund BK07/11–HStart21/11
Start21/11TromsoDHKFUM Oslo1–1
KFUM Oslo1–1DAFredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1WHHam-Kam3–2
Ham-Kam3–2LARosenborg3–5
Rosenborg3–5LAKristiansund BK0–2
Kristiansund BK0–2DHSarpsborg 08 FF0–0
Sarpsborg 08 FF0–0–AViking25/10
Viking25/10–AValerenga01/11
Valerenga01/11–HBodo/Glimt08/11
Bodo/Glimt08/11Top Scorers
ValerengaL. Haren11 ⚽
C. Lange10 ⚽
M. Grundetjern8 ⚽
F. Thorvaldsen6 ⚽
E. Sorensen4 ⚽
G. Rajkovic3 ⚽
TromsoH. Larsen11 ⚽
J. Hjerto-Dahl8 ⚽
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd5 ⚽
D. Braut5 ⚽
I. Dahlqvist3 ⚽
Ieltsin Camoes3 ⚽
Cards Given
Valerenga10 🟨
Magnus Westergaard4 🟨
Aaron Kiil Olsen4 🟨
Sebastian Jarl3 🟨
Kolbeinn Finnsson3 🟨
M. Grundetjern3 🟨
TromsoDavid Edvardsson6 🟨
3 🟨
Alexander Warneryd3 🟨
H. Larsen3 🟨
Leo Cornic3 🟨
Lars Olden Larsen2 🟨