Start vs Lillestrom — Eliteserien
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Start and Lillestrom meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Start have recorded 9 wins from 35 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Lillestrom have won 43% of their 46 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Start and 1.42 for Lillestrom. The models give Start a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lillestrom win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Start—
Lillestrom16º
Position
6º
0.70
PPG
1.57
17%
Win %
48%
1.09
Goals / game
1.39
2.35
Conceded / game
1.35
51%
BTTS %
54%
17%
Clean sheet %
24%
63%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.4
Avg corners
5.3
14.0
Avg shots
12.6
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.0
Avg fouls
11.1
42.7%
Avg possession
51.2%
Home vs Away
Start
Home (11)
—
Lillestrom
Away (12)
1.09
PPG
1.67
27%
Win %
50%
1.27
Goals / game
1.08
1.73
Conceded / game
1.17
50%
BTTS %
32%
29%
Clean sheet %
36%
43%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.4
Avg corners
5.3
14.0
Avg shots
12.6
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
42.7%
Avg possession
51.2%
Goals Scored
| Start | Home | Away | Lillestrom | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 79% | 62% | 72% | 88% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 58% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 7% | 10% | 22% | 29% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 21% | 38% | 28% | 13% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Start | Home | Away | Lillestrom | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 71% | 90% | 76% | 88% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 29% | 76% | 46% | 63% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 29% | 43% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 29% | 10% | 24% | 13% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Start | Lillestrom | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 51% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Start | Lillestrom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 51% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Start (H)L
Ham-Kam2–4
Ham-Kam2–4W
Brann2–1
Brann2–1WBrann2–0
Brann2–0W
KFUM Oslo4–1
KFUM Oslo4–1L
Fredrikstad0–1
Fredrikstad0–1L
Viking0–3
Viking0–3Lillestrom (A)W
Sandefjord2–0
Sandefjord2–0D
Sparta Praha1–1
Sparta Praha1–1W
Bærum5–1
Bærum5–1LViking0–3
Viking0–3WBrann2–1
Brann2–1W
Aurskog Finstadbru3–0
Aurskog Finstadbru3–0Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
23 games
League Avg
10.9
186 games
10.8
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Start | Lillestrom | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 79% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 68% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 54% | 54% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 29% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 11% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Start | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 74% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 54% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Start
14%
2
Draws
29%
4
Lillestrom
57%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
11/04/26Start
Lillestrom
3–1Start16/08/25Start
Lillestrom
3–0Start26/07/25Lillestrom
Start
0–3Lillestrom16/09/18Lillestrom
Start
3–0Lillestrom09/04/18Start
Lillestrom
1–0Start23/10/16Start
Lillestrom
1–1Start13/03/16Lillestrom
Start
1–1Lillestrom| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 56 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 | 16 |
Team Insights
Start- ●Start have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Start have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Start have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Start have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Start failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Start have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Start failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Start failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Start have lost 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●65% of Start's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Start's points have been earned at home.
- ●Start have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Lillestrom- ●Lillestrom failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Lillestrom have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lillestrom have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lillestrom have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
StartLAMolde1–6
Molde1–6LHHam-Kam2–4
Ham-Kam2–4LASandefjord0–3
Sandefjord0–3WHBrann2–0
Brann2–0LAAalesund0–2
Aalesund0–2WHKFUM Oslo4–1
KFUM Oslo4–1–HSandefjord25/10
Sandefjord25/10–HLillestrom01/11
Lillestrom01/11–ARosenborg07/11
Rosenborg07/11LillestromWASandefjord2–0
Sandefjord2–0DHMolde2–2
Molde2–2LAViking0–3
Viking0–3WHValerenga2–0
Valerenga2–0WABrann2–1
Brann2–1LHFredrikstad1–4
Fredrikstad1–4–HBrann25/10
Brann25/10–AStart01/11
Start01/11–HAalesund08/11
Aalesund08/11Top Scorers
StartH. Lorentzen8 ⚽
J. Cornelius5 ⚽
John Olav Norheim2 ⚽
E. Reitan2 ⚽
E. Segberg2 ⚽
O. Toure2 ⚽
Lillestrom9 ⚽
G. Nyheim8 ⚽
Felix Va7 ⚽
T. Olsen6 ⚽
L. Ranger5 ⚽
K. Arierhi5 ⚽
Cards Given
StartOusmane Diallo Toure6 🟨
Erlend Dahl Reitan5 🟨
Erlend Segberg4 🟨
Altin Ujkani3 🟨
Mikael Ugland3 🟨
Steve Mvoué3 🟨
LillestromYlldren Ibrahimaj5 🟨
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim4 🟨
G. Nyheim3 🟨
Felix Vá3 🟨
Fredrik Gulbrandsen3 🟨
H. Woxen3 🟨