Molde vs Fredrikstad — Eliteserien
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Aker Stadion·Molde·Norway·11,800
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Molde and Fredrikstad meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Molde have recorded 16 wins from 35 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.09 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Fredrikstad have won 42% of their 36 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.31 for Molde and 1.37 for Fredrikstad. The models give Molde a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Fredrikstad win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Molde—
Fredrikstad3º
Position
9º
1.74
PPG
1.26
52%
Win %
35%
2.26
Goals / game
1.22
1.52
Conceded / game
1.57
74%
BTTS %
69%
17%
Clean sheet %
17%
69%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.6
Avg corners
4.1
15.9
Avg shots
11.7
6.2
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.4
Avg fouls
10.7
59.6%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Molde
Home (12)
—
Fredrikstad
Away (12)
2.08
PPG
0.92
67%
Win %
25%
2.50
Goals / game
1.17
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
68%
BTTS %
63%
23%
Clean sheet %
16%
68%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.6
Avg corners
4.1
15.9
Avg shots
11.7
6.2
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
59.6%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Molde | Home | Away | Fredrikstad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 86% | 92% | 83% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 59% | 38% | 39% | 35% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 36% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Molde | Home | Away | Fredrikstad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 77% | 92% | 83% | 82% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 32% | 69% | 42% | 24% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 0% | 32% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 23% | 8% | 17% | 18% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 19% |
| BTTS | 74% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 66% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 49% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 66% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Molde (H)W
Start6–1
Start6–1W
Kristiansund BK3–0
Kristiansund BK3–0L
Aalesund1–2
Aalesund1–2W
KFUM Oslo2–0
KFUM Oslo2–0W
Tromso3–2
Tromso3–2D
Sarpsborg 08 FF3–3
Sarpsborg 08 FF3–3Fredrikstad (A)L
Viking2–3
Viking2–3D
Valerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1W
Stjørdals-Blink1–0
Stjørdals-Blink1–0W
Lillestrom4–1
Lillestrom4–1W
Eidsvold IF7–1
Eidsvold IF7–1WStart1–0
Start1–0Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
23 games
League Avg
10.9
186 games
10.0
Corners / Match
23 games
| Match Corners | Molde | Fredrikstad | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 96% | 87% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 87% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 74% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 61% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 48% | 54% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 30% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 17% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 9% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Molde | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 65% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 74% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 65% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 48% | 65% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Molde
20%
2
Draws
40%
2
Fredrikstad
40%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
13/09/25Fredrikstad
Molde
1–2Fredrikstad12/07/25Molde
Fredrikstad
4–2Molde07/12/24Molde
Fredrikstad
0–0Molde14/09/24Fredrikstad
Molde
6–1Fredrikstad13/07/24Molde
Fredrikstad
0–0Molde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 56 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 |  Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 | 16 |
Team Insights
Molde- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Molde have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Molde have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Molde have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored in 10 of their 11 away matches.
Fredrikstad- ●Fredrikstad have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●67% of Fredrikstad's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
MoldeWHStart6–1
Start6–1DALillestrom2–2
Lillestrom2–2LHAalesund1–2
Aalesund1–2WAHam-Kam5–1
Ham-Kam5–1WHKFUM Oslo2–0
KFUM Oslo2–0WAValerenga4–3
Valerenga4–3–HFredrikstad25/10
Fredrikstad25/10–ABrann01/11
Brann01/11–ASandefjord08/11
Sandefjord08/11FredrikstadLAViking2–3
Viking2–3DHTromso1–1
Tromso1–1DAValerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1DHSarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1LHBodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2WALillestrom4–1
Lillestrom4–1–AMolde25/10
Molde25/10–HRosenborg31/10
Rosenborg31/10–HBrann08/11
Brann08/11Top Scorers
MoldeE. Breivik9 ⚽
E. Hestad8 ⚽
Trent Kone-Doherty4 ⚽
F. Gulbrandsen4 ⚽
Sander Hestetun Kilen4 ⚽
4 ⚽
FredrikstadH. Skogvold6 ⚽
O. Ohlenschlaeger5 ⚽
F. Holme4 ⚽
B. Faraas4 ⚽
D. Eid3 ⚽
Bryan Fiabema2 ⚽
Cards Given
MoldeSamukelo Kabini6 🟨
Eirik Hestad5 🟨
4 🟨
E. Breivik3 🟨
Jalal Abdullai3 🟨
E. Hestad2 🟨
Fredrikstad8 🟨
Max Nilsson4 🟨
Daniel Eid4 🟨
Fredrik Holmé3 🟨
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem3 🟨
Eirik Granaas3 🟨