GFA League — Home Advantage
Gambia · 2025/26
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GPA | +28% | 0% | +56% | 1.80/1.33 |
| 2 |  Hawks | +23% | +4% | +42% | 1.53/0.67 |
| 3 |  Bombada | +20% | +22% | +19% | 1.80/1.13 |
| 4 |  Dutch Lions | +15% | +33% | -3% | 1.47/0.80 |
| 5 |  Brikama United | +14% | +19% | +9% | 1.80/1.07 |
| 6 |  Hart Acedemy | +12% | -11% | +35% | 1.53/1.00 |
| 7 |  BST Galaxy | +11% | +10% | +12% | 1.40/1.20 |
| 8 |  Steve Biko | +8% | +8% | +7% | 1.27/0.73 |
| 9 |  Team Rhino | +6% | +23% | -10% | 1.13/1.33 |
| 10 |  Fortune | +3% | -9% | +14% | 1.73/1.80 |
| 11 |  Greater Tomorrow | +2% | +12% | -9% | 1.07/1.20 |
| 12 |  Falcons | +2% | -5% | +8% | 1.27/1.07 |
| 13 |  Samger | -6% | +13% | -26% | 0.93/1.20 |
| 14 |  Real de Banjul | -7% | +7% | -20% | 1.27/1.47 |
| 15 |  TMT | -12% | -20% | -3% | 0.87/1.33 |
| 16 |  Medina United | -23% | -18% | -28% | 1.33/2.27 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the GFA League (Gambia), the average home win rate is 33% compared to 28% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Brikama United shows the strongest home advantage, winning 53% of home games versus just 20% away (a difference of +33%). At the other end, Medina United actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 33% versus 73% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dutch Lions | +33% | 1.47 | 0.73 |
| 2 | Team Rhino | +23% | 1.07 | 0.67 |
| 3 | Bombada | +22% | 1.47 | 0.93 |
| 4 | Brikama United | +19% | 1.47 | 1.00 |
| 5 | Samger | +13% | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| 6 | Greater Tomorrow | +12% | 0.93 | 0.73 |
| 7 | BST Galaxy | +10% | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| 8 | Steve Biko | +8% | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| 9 | Real de Banjul | +7% | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 10 | Hawks | +4% | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| 11 | GPA | 0% | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| 12 | Falcons | -5% | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| 13 | Fortune | -9% | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| 14 | Hart Acedemy | -11% | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| 15 | Medina United | -18% | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| 16 | TMT | -20% | 0.53 | 0.80 |
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Dutch Lions has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the GFA League (Gambia), netting 1.47 goals/match at home versus 0.73 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. In contrast, TMT scores more away (0.80/match) than at home (0.53/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -20% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPA | +56% | 0.27 | 0.93 |
| 2 | Hawks | +42% | 0.60 | 1.47 |
| 3 | Hart Acedemy | +35% | 0.73 | 1.53 |
| 4 | Bombada | +19% | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| 5 | Fortune | +14% | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| 6 | BST Galaxy | +12% | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| 7 | Brikama United | +9% | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| 8 | Falcons | +8% | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| 9 | Steve Biko | +7% | 0.87 | 1.00 |
| 10 | Dutch Lions | -3% | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| 11 | TMT | -3% | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| 12 | Greater Tomorrow | -9% | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| 13 | Team Rhino | -10% | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| 14 | Real de Banjul | -20% | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| 15 | Samger | -26% | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| 16 | Medina United | -28% | 1.07 | 0.60 |
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Defence Analysis
GPA has the best home defensive record in the GFA League (Gambia), conceding just 0.27 goals/match at home compared to 0.93 away — a Defence Advantage of +56%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Medina United concedes more at home (1.07/match) than away (0.60/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samger | +45% | 0.53 | 0.20 |
| 2 | BST Galaxy | +40% | 0.47 | 0.20 |
| 3 | Falcons | +40% | 0.47 | 0.20 |
| 4 | Steve Biko | +29% | 0.60 | 0.33 |
| 5 | Hawks | +27% | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| 6 | Team Rhino | +25% | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| 7 | Real de Banjul | +22% | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| 8 | Dutch Lions | +20% | 0.80 | 0.53 |
| 9 | Bombada | +20% | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| 10 | Greater Tomorrow | +8% | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| 11 | Brikama United | 0% | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| 12 | Hart Acedemy | 0% | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| 13 | Fortune | -22% | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| 14 | Medina United | -22% | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| 15 | GPA | -23% | 0.33 | 0.53 |
| 16 | TMT | -38% | 0.27 | 0.60 |
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Samger has the biggest home scoring advantage in the GFA League (Gambia), netting 0.53 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +45%. At the other end, TMT shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.27/match at home against 0.60 away (-38%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPA | +71% | 0.07 | 0.40 |
| 2 | Hart Acedemy | +63% | 0.20 | 0.87 |
| 3 | Bombada | +29% | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| 4 | Fortune | +27% | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| 5 | BST Galaxy | +26% | 0.47 | 0.80 |
| 6 | Brikama United | +25% | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| 7 | Hawks | +25% | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| 8 | Steve Biko | +25% | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| 9 | Greater Tomorrow | +11% | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| 10 | Falcons | 0% | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| 11 | Dutch Lions | -6% | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| 12 | TMT | -20% | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| 13 | Real de Banjul | -20% | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| 14 | Samger | -27% | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| 15 | Team Rhino | -33% | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 16 | Medina United | -47% | 0.73 | 0.27 |
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, GPA has the best home defensive record in the GFA League (Gambia), conceding just 0.07 goals/match at home compared to 0.40 away — a Defence Advantage of +71%. Medina United struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.73/match at home versus 0.27 away (-47%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dutch Lions | +54% | 0.67 | 0.20 |
| 2 | Brikama United | +30% | 1.00 | 0.53 |
| 3 | Bombada | +24% | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| 4 | GPA | +23% | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| 5 | Team Rhino | +22% | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| 6 | Greater Tomorrow | +17% | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| 7 | TMT | +14% | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| 8 | Fortune | +7% | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 9 | BST Galaxy | -5% | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| 10 | Medina United | -12% | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| 11 | Hawks | -14% | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| 12 | Real de Banjul | -17% | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| 13 | Samger | -17% | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| 14 | Hart Acedemy | -17% | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| 15 | Steve Biko | -20% | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| 16 | Falcons | -56% | 0.13 | 0.47 |
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Dutch Lions has the biggest home scoring advantage in the GFA League (Gambia), netting 0.67 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +54%. At the other end, Falcons shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.13/match at home against 0.47 away (-56%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawks | +60% | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| 2 | GPA | +45% | 0.20 | 0.53 |
| 3 | Team Rhino | +14% | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| 4 | TMT | +14% | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| 5 | Falcons | +14% | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| 6 | Bombada | +11% | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| 7 | Hart Acedemy | +11% | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| 8 | Fortune | 0% | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| 9 | Steve Biko | 0% | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| 10 | Dutch Lions | 0% | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| 11 | Medina United | 0% | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| 12 | Brikama United | -6% | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| 13 | BST Galaxy | -8% | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| 14 | Real de Banjul | -20% | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| 15 | Samger | -25% | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| 16 | Greater Tomorrow | -29% | 0.73 | 0.40 |
GFA League (Gambia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Hawks has the best home defensive record in the GFA League (Gambia), conceding just 0.20 goals/match at home compared to 0.80 away — a Defence Advantage of +60%. Greater Tomorrow struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.73/match at home versus 0.40 away (-29%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.