Premier League — Home Advantage
Uganda · 2026/27
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mbarara City | +63% | +100% | +25% | 1.60/0.00 |
| 2 |  Kitara | +45% | -9% | +100% | 3.00/1.80 |
| 3 |  Ntugasaze | +28% | +20% | +37% | 1.00/0.00 |
| 4 |  Express | +27% | +76% | -22% | 1.25/0.60 |
| 5 |  SC Villa | +25% | -16% | +67% | 2.20/2.00 |
| 6 |  Lugazi | +11% | -11% | +33% | 1.00/0.75 |
| 7 |  NEC | +8% | +37% | -20% | 2.60/2.00 |
| 8 |  Maroons | +7% | +38% | -25% | 1.50/1.25 |
| 9 |  Police | -2% | +20% | -23% | 1.60/1.40 |
| 10 |  Blacks Power | -3% | 0% | -6% | 1.80/1.00 |
| 11 |  Entebbe UPPC | -4% | +35% | -43% | 1.75/1.80 |
| 12 |  URA | -6% | -71% | +60% | 1.00/1.50 |
| 13 |  Kataka | -10% | +3% | -23% | 0.20/0.50 |
| 14 |  KCCA | -17% | -9% | -25% | 2.00/2.00 |
| 15 |  Vipers | -19% | -38% | 0% | 1.25/1.50 |
| 16 |  BUL | -21% | 0% | -43% | 2.67/2.33 |
| 17 |  UPDF | -23% | -58% | +11% | 0.80/1.00 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | -31% | -100% | +38% | 0.33/0.00 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Premier League (Uganda), the average home win rate is 39% compared to 31% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Mbarara City shows the strongest home advantage, winning 40% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +40%). At the other end, URA actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 25% versus 50% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mbarara City | +100% | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Express | +76% | 1.50 | 0.20 |
| 3 | Maroons | +38% | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| 4 | NEC | +37% | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | +35% | 1.25 | 0.60 |
| 6 | Ntugasaze | +20% | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| 7 | Police | +20% | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| 8 | Kataka | +3% | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| 9 | BUL | 0% | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| 10 | Blacks Power | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 11 | KCCA | -9% | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| 12 | Kitara | -9% | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| 13 | Lugazi | -11% | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| 14 | SC Villa | -16% | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| 15 | Vipers | -38% | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| 16 | UPDF | -58% | 0.20 | 0.75 |
| 17 | URA | -71% | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | -100% | 0.00 | 0.50 |
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Mbarara City has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Premier League (Uganda), netting 0.80 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. In contrast, Kigezi HomeBoyz scores more away (0.50/match) than at home (0.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -100% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitara | +100% | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2 | SC Villa | +67% | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| 3 | URA | +60% | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| 4 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | +38% | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| 5 | Ntugasaze | +37% | 1.50 | 3.25 |
| 6 | Lugazi | +33% | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| 7 | Mbarara City | +25% | 0.80 | 1.33 |
| 8 | UPDF | +11% | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| 9 | Vipers | 0% | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| 10 | Blacks Power | -6% | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| 11 | NEC | -20% | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| 12 | Express | -22% | 1.25 | 0.80 |
| 13 | Kataka | -23% | 2.80 | 1.75 |
| 14 | Police | -23% | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| 15 | KCCA | -25% | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| 16 | Maroons | -25% | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 17 | BUL | -43% | 0.83 | 0.33 |
| 18 | Entebbe UPPC | -43% | 0.50 | 0.20 |
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Defence Analysis
SC Villa has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Uganda), conceding just 0.20 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +67%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Entebbe UPPC concedes more at home (0.50/match) than away (0.20/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Express | +100% | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Mbarara City | +100% | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| 3 | BUL | +33% | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | +30% | 0.75 | 0.40 |
| 5 | NEC | +25% | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| 6 | Blacks Power | +23% | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| 7 | Maroons | 0% | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| 8 | SC Villa | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 9 | Police | 0% | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 0% | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 11 | URA | -33% | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| 12 | Ntugasaze | -33% | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| 13 | Kataka | -43% | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| 14 | UPDF | -58% | 0.20 | 0.75 |
| 15 | Vipers | -60% | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| 16 | KCCA | -100% | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | -100% | 0.00 | 0.25 |
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Express has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premier League (Uganda), netting 0.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Kigezi HomeBoyz shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.25 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maroons | +100% | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2 | SC Villa | +100% | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 3 | URA | +71% | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| 4 | Ntugasaze | +25% | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| 5 | Mbarara City | +25% | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| 6 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | +20% | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| 7 | UPDF | +11% | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| 8 | Vipers | 0% | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| 9 | BUL | 0% | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| 10 | Blacks Power | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 11 | Entebbe UPPC | -11% | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| 12 | Kataka | -23% | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| 13 | KCCA | -25% | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| 14 | NEC | -33% | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| 15 | Police | -43% | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| 16 | Express | -52% | 1.25 | 0.40 |
| 17 | Lugazi | -100% | 0.20 | 0.00 |
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Maroons has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Uganda), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.25 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Lugazi struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.20/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ntugasaze | +100% | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Maroons | +71% | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| 3 | Express | +67% | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| 4 | NEC | +45% | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | +43% | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| 6 | Kataka | +41% | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| 7 | KCCA | +25% | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| 8 | Police | +25% | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| 9 | Mbarara City | 0% | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 10 | UPDF | 0% | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 11 | Blacks Power | -11% | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| 12 | Lugazi | -11% | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| 13 | Vipers | -25% | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| 14 | BUL | -33% | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| 15 | SC Villa | -33% | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| 16 | URA | -100% | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | -100% | 0.00 | 0.25 |
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Ntugasaze has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premier League (Uganda), netting 0.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Kigezi HomeBoyz shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.25 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Express | +100% | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 2 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | +58% | 0.33 | 1.25 |
| 3 | SC Villa | +50% | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| 4 | Ntugasaze | +45% | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| 5 | Lugazi | +43% | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| 6 | URA | +33% | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| 7 | Mbarara City | +25% | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| 8 | UPDF | +11% | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| 9 | Vipers | 0% | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 10 | Police | 0% | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| 11 | NEC | 0% | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| 12 | Blacks Power | -23% | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| 13 | Kataka | -23% | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| 14 | KCCA | -25% | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| 15 | Maroons | -43% | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| 16 | BUL | -100% | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| 17 | Entebbe UPPC | -100% | 0.25 | 0.00 |
Premier League (Uganda) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Express has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Uganda), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.40 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Entebbe UPPC struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.25/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.