Premier League — Home Advantage
Namibia · 2018/19
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  African Stars | +23% | +1% | +45% | 2.30/1.78 |
| 2 |  Civics | +18% | +37% | 0% | 1.20/0.60 |
| 3 |  Life Fighters | +16% | +19% | +13% | 1.63/1.50 |
| 4 |  Citizens | +13% | +22% | +3% | 2.00/1.00 |
| 5 |  Tura Magic | +8% | +27% | -10% | 2.00/1.10 |
| 6 |  Eleven Arrows | +6% | +17% | -6% | 1.36/1.00 |
| 7 |  Mighty Gunners | +5% | +27% | -17% | 1.60/1.43 |
| 8 |  Orlando Pirates | +5% | +9% | 0% | 0.75/0.88 |
| 9 |  Blue Waters | +2% | +33% | -28% | 0.75/0.91 |
| 10 |  Tigers | +1% | +1% | +1% | 1.50/1.27 |
| 11 |  Okahandja United | -4% | -29% | +21% | 1.00/1.10 |
| 12 |  Julinho Sporting | -4% | -25% | +17% | 1.00/1.44 |
| 13 |  Young Africans | -7% | +11% | -25% | 0.67/1.20 |
| 14 |  Young Brazilians | -14% | -63% | +35% | 0.86/1.25 |
| 15 |  UNAM | -19% | -18% | -20% | 1.25/1.83 |
| 16 |  Black Africa | -20% | -10% | -30% | 1.85/2.50 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Premier League (Namibia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Premier League (Namibia), the average home win rate is 34% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Tura Magic shows the strongest home advantage, winning 56% of home games versus just 10% away (a difference of +46%). At the other end, UNAM actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 25% versus 50% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Civics | +37% | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| 2 | Blue Waters | +33% | 1.25 | 0.64 |
| 3 | Mighty Gunners | +27% | 1.50 | 0.86 |
| 4 | Tura Magic | +27% | 1.56 | 0.90 |
| 5 | Citizens | +22% | 1.71 | 1.09 |
| 6 | Life Fighters | +19% | 1.63 | 1.10 |
| 7 | Eleven Arrows | +17% | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| 8 | Young Africans | +11% | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| 9 | Orlando Pirates | +9% | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| 10 | African Stars | +1% | 1.60 | 1.56 |
| 11 | Tigers | +1% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| 12 | Black Africa | -10% | 2.15 | 2.63 |
| 13 | UNAM | -18% | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| 14 | Julinho Sporting | -25% | 1.13 | 1.89 |
| 15 | Okahandja United | -29% | 0.56 | 1.00 |
| 16 | Young Brazilians | -63% | 0.57 | 2.50 |
Premier League (Namibia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Civics has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Premier League (Namibia), netting 1.30 goals/match at home versus 0.60 away — a Scoring Advantage of +37%. In contrast, Young Brazilians scores more away (2.50/match) than at home (0.57/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -63% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | African Stars | +45% | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| 2 | Young Brazilians | +35% | 1.43 | 3.00 |
| 3 | Okahandja United | +21% | 0.78 | 1.20 |
| 4 | Julinho Sporting | +17% | 1.75 | 2.44 |
| 5 | Life Fighters | +13% | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| 6 | Citizens | +3% | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| 7 | Tigers | +1% | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| 8 | Orlando Pirates | 0% | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| 9 | Civics | 0% | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| 10 | Eleven Arrows | -6% | 1.45 | 1.30 |
| 11 | Tura Magic | -10% | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| 12 | Mighty Gunners | -17% | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| 13 | UNAM | -20% | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| 14 | Young Africans | -25% | 1.33 | 0.80 |
| 15 | Blue Waters | -28% | 2.25 | 1.27 |
| 16 | Black Africa | -30% | 0.92 | 0.50 |
Premier League (Namibia) — Home Defence Analysis
African Stars has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Namibia), conceding just 0.50 goals/match at home compared to 1.33 away — a Defence Advantage of +45%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Black Africa concedes more at home (0.92/match) than away (0.50/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.