Pro League — xG (Expected Goals)
Saudi-Arabia · 2026/27
Saudi-Arabia — Pro League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 12 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 33.0 | 3.00 | 9.7 | 0.89 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 28.9 | 2.41 | 14.9 | 1.24 | 32 | 12 | +3.1 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 23.0 | 2.30 | 14.2 | 1.42 | 28 | 19 | +5 |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 11 | 21.6 | 1.97 | 9.6 | 0.87 | 28 | 11 | +6.4 |
| 5 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 21.1 | 1.92 | 16.9 | 1.54 | 21 | 11 | -0.1 |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 11 | 20.0 | 1.82 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 17 | 26 | -3 |
| 7 |  Al Shabab | 11 | 19.9 | 1.81 | 14.5 | 1.32 | 20 | 15 | +0.1 |
| 8 |  Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 16.7 | 1.39 | 16.8 | 1.40 | 18 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 9 |  NEOM | 12 | 15.7 | 1.31 | 13.7 | 1.14 | 18 | 10 | +2.3 |
| 10 |  Al-Fateh | 12 | 14.2 | 1.19 | 22.5 | 1.88 | 10 | 25 | -4.2 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 13.7 | 1.14 | 17.6 | 1.47 | 14 | 19 | +0.3 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 12 | 13.5 | 1.12 | 22.8 | 1.90 | 14 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 13 |  Al Taawon | 12 | 13.2 | 1.10 | 20.8 | 1.73 | 6 | 20 | -7.2 |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 13.1 | 1.09 | 21.3 | 1.78 | 13 | 24 | -0.1 |
| 15 |  Al-Fayha | 12 | 12.6 | 1.05 | 24.3 | 2.02 | 16 | 20 | +3.4 |
| 16 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 12.1 | 1.10 | 15.6 | 1.41 | 10 | 13 | -2.1 |
| 17 |  Al Riyadh | 11 | 10.6 | 0.97 | 20.0 | 1.82 | 11 | 25 | +0.4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 11 | 9.2 | 0.84 | 15.1 | 1.37 | 7 | 19 | -2.2 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.53
League avg xGA/g: 1.51
Best overperformer: Al-Nassr (+6.4)
Biggest underperformer: Al Taawon (-7.2)
Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) averages 1.53 xG per game this season. Al-Hilal Saudi FC creates the most chances with 3.00 xGF per game, while Abha creates the fewest with 0.84 xGF per game. Al-Nassr is over-performing their xG (28 goals vs 21.6 xGF) — regression likely. Al Taawon is under-performing (6 goals vs 13.2 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Saudi-Arabia
- Crown Prince Cup xG— Division SemiPro
- Division 1 xG— Division Pro
- Division 2 xG— Division SemiPro
- King's Cup xG— Division Silver
- Premier League Women xG— Division Women's Pro
- Super Cup xG— Division Gold