Thai League 1 — xG (Expected Goals)
Thailand · 2026/27
Thailand — Thai League 1 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 6 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sisaket United | 6 | 9.1 | 1.52 | 10.3 | 1.72 | 10 | 13 | +0.9 |
| 2 |  Buriram United | 4 | 8.8 | 2.21 | 2.2 | 0.55 | 11 | 7 | +2.2 |
| 3 |  Bangkok United | 5 | 8.7 | 1.74 | 6.0 | 1.21 | 10 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 4 |  Ayutthaya FC | 6 | 7.9 | 1.32 | 10.1 | 1.69 | 12 | 7 | +4.1 |
| 5 |  Uthai Thani | 5 | 7.4 | 1.48 | 9.2 | 1.83 | 13 | 11 | +5.6 |
| 6 |  Lamphun Warrior | 4 | 7.3 | 1.82 | 5.0 | 1.24 | 12 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  Ratchaburi | 4 | 7.2 | 1.79 | 4.4 | 1.11 | 17 | 8 | +9.9 |
| 8 |  Chonburi FC | 6 | 6.8 | 1.14 | 6.9 | 1.15 | 7 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 9 |  Rayong FC | 5 | 6.5 | 1.30 | 7.9 | 1.57 | 9 | 15 | +2.5 |
| 10 |  Chiangrai United | 4 | 6.5 | 1.63 | 5.7 | 1.43 | 4 | 8 | -2.5 |
| 11 |  Sukhothai FC | 4 | 6.2 | 1.56 | 5.2 | 1.31 | 10 | 16 | +3.8 |
| 12 |  BG Pathum United | 6 | 5.3 | 0.89 | 5.6 | 0.94 | 9 | 8 | +3.7 |
| 13 |  Pattani | 5 | 5.3 | 1.06 | 7.4 | 1.48 | 7 | 12 | +1.7 |
| 14 |  Rasi Salai United | 4 | 4.5 | 1.12 | 9.1 | 2.27 | 9 | 21 | +4.5 |
| 15 |  Prachuap | 3 | 3.7 | 1.24 | 5.6 | 1.88 | 8 | 3 | +4.3 |
| 16 |  Port FC | 3 | 3.7 | 1.22 | 4.3 | 1.44 | 14 | 7 | +10.3 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.44
League avg xGA/g: 1.43
Best overperformer: Port FC (+10.3)
Biggest underperformer: Chiangrai United (-2.5)
Thai League 1 (Thailand) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Thai League 1 (Thailand) averages 1.44 xG per game this season. Buriram United creates the most chances with 2.21 xGF per game, while BG Pathum United creates the fewest with 0.89 xGF per game. Port FC is over-performing their xG (14 goals vs 3.7 xGF) — regression likely. Chiangrai United is under-performing (4 goals vs 6.5 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Thailand
- FA Cup xG— Division Pro
- League Cup xG— Division Pro
- Thai Champions Cup xG— Division Underground
- Thai League 2 xG— Division Pro