MatchPulse
K League 1

K League 1 — xG (Expected Goals)

South-Korea · 2026

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 20 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Gangwon FC1928.81.5218.30.964132+12.2
2Ulsan Hyundai FC1825.71.4324.71.375448+28.3
3Daejeon Citizen1824.91.3822.81.275341+28.1
4Jeonbuk Motors2023.91.2022.01.104333+19.1
5Incheon United1923.01.2122.21.174435+21
6FC Seoul1922.31.1815.40.816130+38.7
7Jeju United FC1821.41.1921.61.204038+18.7
8Gimcheon Sangmu FC1921.01.1120.71.093442+13
9Bucheon FC 19951820.71.1527.11.513349+12.3
10FC Anyang1618.31.1520.21.264249+23.7
11Pohang Steelers1918.30.9621.61.133140+12.7
12Gwangju FC1513.40.8925.11.683170+17.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Gangwon FCHigh xGF1.52
Ulsan Hyundai FCHigh xGF1.43
Daejeon CitizenHigh xGF1.38
Gwangju FCLow xGF0.89
Pohang SteelersLow xGF0.96

LEAGUE xG STATS

12 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.20
League avg xGA/g: 1.21
Best overperformer: FC Seoul (+38.7)

K League 1 (South-Korea) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The K League 1 (South-Korea) averages 1.20 xG per game this season. Gangwon FC creates the most chances with 1.52 xGF per game, while Gwangju FC creates the fewest with 0.89 xGF per game. FC Seoul is over-performing their xG (61 goals vs 22.3 xGF) — regression likely.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — South-Korea