Premier Soccer League — xG (Expected Goals)
South-Africa · 2026/27
South-Africa — Premier Soccer League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 10 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 20.4 | 2.04 | 6.9 | 0.69 | 27 | 9 | +6.6 |
| 2 |  Orlando Pirates | 9 | 15.7 | 1.75 | 6.9 | 0.76 | 21 | 2 | +5.3 |
| 3 |  Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 10.7 | 1.33 | 8.1 | 1.01 | 14 | 10 | +3.3 |
| 4 |  Golden Arrows | 9 | 8.9 | 0.99 | 7.4 | 0.82 | 3 | 5 | -5.9 |
| 5 |  Stellenbosch | 9 | 8.2 | 0.91 | 9.3 | 1.04 | 9 | 10 | +0.8 |
| 6 |  Amazulu | 9 | 7.9 | 0.88 | 8.3 | 0.92 | 13 | 8 | +5.1 |
| 7 |  Milford FC | 9 | 7.9 | 0.88 | 9.1 | 1.01 | 11 | 7 | +3.1 |
| 8 |  Richards Bay | 8 | 7.7 | 0.97 | 12.7 | 1.58 | 11 | 23 | +3.3 |
| 9 |  TS Galaxy | 9 | 7.5 | 0.83 | 13.6 | 1.51 | 7 | 12 | -0.5 |
| 10 |  Durban City | 8 | 7.1 | 0.89 | 8.1 | 1.02 | 6 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 11 |  Polokwane City | 8 | 7.1 | 0.89 | 6.8 | 0.84 | 8 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 12 |  Sekhukhune United | 8 | 7.0 | 0.87 | 7.0 | 0.87 | 9 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 |  Siwelele | 9 | 6.8 | 0.76 | 11.9 | 1.32 | 9 | 16 | +2.2 |
| 14 |  Kruger United | 6 | 6.3 | 1.05 | 6.9 | 1.15 | 7 | 13 | +0.7 |
| 15 |  Marumo Gallants | 8 | 6.1 | 0.77 | 10.0 | 1.25 | 9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 16 |  Chippa United | 9 | 5.2 | 0.58 | 7.7 | 0.86 | 6 | 7 | +0.8 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.02
League avg xGA/g: 1.04
Best overperformer: Mamelodi Sundowns (+6.6)
Biggest underperformer: Golden Arrows (-5.9)
Premier Soccer League (South-Africa) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Premier Soccer League (South-Africa) averages 1.02 xG per game this season. Mamelodi Sundowns creates the most chances with 2.04 xGF per game, while Chippa United creates the fewest with 0.58 xGF per game. Mamelodi Sundowns is over-performing their xG (27 goals vs 20.4 xGF) — regression likely. Golden Arrows is under-performing (3 goals vs 8.9 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — South-Africa
- 1st Division xG— Division Underground
- 8 Cup xG— Division Pro
- Cup xG— Division Pro
- Diski Challenge xG— Division Underground
- Diski Shield xG— Division Underground
- League Cup xG— Division Pro
- Super League Women xG