Super Liga — xG (Expected Goals)
Serbia · 2026/27
Serbia — Super Liga 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 14 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 14 | 35.0 | 2.50 | 11.6 | 0.83 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 2 |  Vojvodina | 14 | 26.4 | 1.88 | 17.1 | 1.22 | 30 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 3 |  FK Partizan | 14 | 24.2 | 1.73 | 17.4 | 1.25 | 24 | 24 | -0.2 |
| 4 |  Radnicki 1923 | 14 | 23.0 | 1.64 | 18.9 | 1.35 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 5 |  Železničar Pančevo | 13 | 20.2 | 1.55 | 11.8 | 0.91 | 21 | 11 | +0.8 |
| 6 |  Novi Pazar | 14 | 19.3 | 1.38 | 18.9 | 1.35 | 13 | 16 | -6.3 |
| 7 |  Radnik Surdulica | 13 | 17.9 | 1.38 | 18.2 | 1.40 | 18 | 17 | +0.1 |
| 8 |  Cukaricki | 13 | 17.8 | 1.37 | 18.1 | 1.40 | 19 | 20 | +1.2 |
| 9 |  IMT Novi Beograd | 14 | 16.6 | 1.19 | 10.9 | 0.78 | 15 | 9 | -1.6 |
| 10 |  Radnicki NIS | 13 | 15.3 | 1.18 | 21.2 | 1.63 | 9 | 23 | -6.3 |
| 11 |  OFK Beograd | 13 | 12.4 | 0.96 | 16.7 | 1.28 | 14 | 25 | +1.6 |
| 12 |  Mladost Lucani | 14 | 12.3 | 0.88 | 27.3 | 1.95 | 12 | 19 | -0.3 |
| 13 |  Zemun | 14 | 9.4 | 0.67 | 29.3 | 2.09 | 7 | 28 | -2.4 |
| 14 |  Macva | 13 | 9.4 | 0.72 | 21.6 | 1.67 | 11 | 25 | +1.6 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
14 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.36
League avg xGA/g: 1.36
Best overperformer: Vojvodina (+3.6)
Biggest underperformer: Novi Pazar (-6.3)
Super Liga (Serbia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Super Liga (Serbia) averages 1.36 xG per game this season. FK Crvena Zvezda creates the most chances with 2.50 xGF per game, while Zemun creates the fewest with 0.67 xGF per game. Vojvodina is over-performing their xG (30 goals vs 26.4 xGF) — regression likely. Novi Pazar is under-performing (13 goals vs 19.3 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Serbia
- Cup xG— Division Silver
- Prva Liga xG— Division Pro
- Srpska Liga - Belgrade xG— Division Underground
- Srpska Liga - East xG— Division Underground
- Srpska Liga - Vojvodina xG— Division Underground
- Srpska Liga - West xG— Division Underground
- U19 league xG