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Liga I

Liga I — xG (Expected Goals)

Romania · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 14 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Universitatea Craiova1426.91.9210.30.733410+7.1
2Dinamo Bucuresti1326.52.0412.80.99319+4.5
3FCSB1425.71.8419.11.362020-5.7
4Rapid1322.61.7415.51.192313+0.4
5Farul Constanta1421.11.5116.51.182321+1.9
6CFR 1907 Cluj1420.71.4822.91.642021-0.7
7Universitatea Cluj1419.81.4121.61.542620+6.2
8FC Voluntari1419.21.3724.41.751431-5.2
9Corvinul Hunedoara1418.71.3417.51.251616-2.7
10FC Botosani1418.41.3122.41.601819-0.4
11Petrolul Ploiesti1418.11.2922.91.641918+0.9
12Oţelul1417.51.2518.31.301622-1.5
13Uta Arad1417.51.2519.91.421619-1.5
14Arges Pitesti1414.51.0317.71.26816-6.5
15Csikszereda1312.20.9427.42.11928-3.2
16Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1311.50.8921.81.68919-2.5
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Dinamo BucurestiHigh xGF2.04
FCSBHigh xGF1.84
CsikszeredaLow xGF0.94
Arges PitestiLow xGF1.03

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.41
League avg xGA/g: 1.41
Best overperformer: Universitatea Craiova (+7.1)
Biggest underperformer: Arges Pitesti (-6.5)

Liga I (Romania) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Liga I (Romania) averages 1.41 xG per game this season. Dinamo Bucuresti creates the most chances with 2.04 xGF per game, while Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe creates the fewest with 0.89 xGF per game. Universitatea Craiova is over-performing their xG (34 goals vs 26.9 xGF) — regression likely. Arges Pitesti is under-performing (8 goals vs 14.5 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Romania