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Primera División

Primera División — xG (Expected Goals)

Peru · 2026

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 32 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Cienciano3156.61.8334.91.135343-3.6
2Sporting Cristal3252.01.6346.51.456247+10
3FBC Melgar3250.61.5840.21.265437+3.4
4Alianza Lima3149.51.6025.80.835223+2.5
5Sport Huancayo3248.31.5136.51.144648-2.3
6Alianza Atletico3246.51.4541.01.284946+2.5
7Deportivo Garcilaso3144.51.4442.21.365035+5.5
8Comerciantes Unidos3244.01.3743.11.3544470
9ADT3242.31.3242.21.323547-7.3
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3242.11.3248.11.503951-3.1
11Universitario3141.31.3337.31.205535+13.7
12UTC Cajamarca3239.71.2447.81.503858-1.7
13Cusco3038.91.3045.01.504644+7.1
14Sport Boys3138.41.2438.21.233533-3.4
15Atletico Grau3238.41.2049.71.552941-9.4
16Juan Pablo II College3136.81.1948.21.554757+10.2
17FC Cajamarca3032.51.0853.61.794465+11.5
18UCV Moquegua3229.30.9251.31.602546-4.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
CiencianoHigh xGF1.83
Sporting CristalHigh xGF1.63
Alianza LimaHigh xGF1.60
UCV MoqueguaLow xGF0.92
FC CajamarcaLow xGF1.08

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.36
League avg xGA/g: 1.36
Best overperformer: Universitario (+13.7)
Biggest underperformer: Atletico Grau (-9.4)

Primera División (Peru) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Primera División (Peru) averages 1.36 xG per game this season. Cienciano creates the most chances with 1.83 xGF per game, while UCV Moquegua creates the fewest with 0.92 xGF per game. Universitario is over-performing their xG (55 goals vs 41.3 xGF) — regression likely. Atletico Grau is under-performing (29 goals vs 38.4 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Peru