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Primera División

Primera División — xG (Expected Goals)

Chile · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 26 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Colo Colo2644.81.7226.71.035729+12.2
2Universidad de Chile2642.31.6331.21.204521+2.7
3Deportes Limache2641.61.6035.71.374837+6.4
4Everton de Vina2540.61.6234.81.394034-0.6
5O'Higgins2638.41.4833.31.283039-8.4
6Cobresal2638.41.4846.91.813651-2.4
7Palestino2637.71.4536.81.423937+1.3
8U. Catolica2536.61.4632.71.315337+16.4
9Coquimbo Unido2536.51.4632.21.293836+1.5
10D. La Serena2635.41.3638.91.503942+3.6
11Concepción2631.71.2233.31.282830-3.7
12Huachipato2530.41.2136.91.483540+4.6
13Universidad de Concepcion2629.51.1342.81.651947-10.5
14Nublense2529.51.1836.21.453039+0.5
15Union La Calera2629.11.1236.91.422738-2.1
16A. Italiano2525.91.0332.81.312835+2.1
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Colo ColoHigh xGF1.72
Everton de VinaHigh xGF1.62
A. ItalianoLow xGF1.03
Union La CaleraLow xGF1.12

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.38
League avg xGA/g: 1.39
Best overperformer: U. Catolica (+16.4)
Biggest underperformer: Universidad de Concepcion (-10.5)

Primera División (Chile) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Primera División (Chile) averages 1.38 xG per game this season. Colo Colo creates the most chances with 1.72 xGF per game, while A. Italiano creates the fewest with 1.03 xGF per game. U. Catolica is over-performing their xG (53 goals vs 36.6 xGF) — regression likely. Universidad de Concepcion is under-performing (19 goals vs 29.5 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Chile