Primera A — xG (Expected Goals)

Colombia · 2026

Colombia — Primera A 2026 — Detailed Stats

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 42 games

#	Team	MP	xGF	xGF/g	xGA	xGA/g	GF	GA	Diff
1	Atletico Nacional	42	63.1	1.50	35.4	0.84	82	35	+18.9
2	Once Caldas	38	54.7	1.44	40.0	1.05	54	43	-0.7
3	Junior	42	52.0	1.24	49.5	1.18	61	55	+9
4	Deportes Tolima	39	51.1	1.31	35.6	0.91	52	41	+0.9
5	Millonarios	35	50.1	1.43	35.8	1.02	55	37	+4.9
6	Santa Fe	38	49.3	1.30	39.8	1.05	58	41	+8.7
7	Internacional de Bogota	38	45.9	1.21	46.6	1.23	49	58	+3.1
8	Independiente Medellin	35	45.6	1.30	37.3	1.06	51	49	+5.4
9	America de Cali	36	44.1	1.23	38.4	1.07	57	32	+12.9
10	Deportivo Cali	36	42.4	1.18	31.8	0.88	46	26	+3.6
11	Águilas Doradas	36	40.5	1.12	42.5	1.18	42	45	+1.5
12	Bucaramanga	35	40.3	1.15	37.0	1.06	52	37	+11.7
13	Llaneros	36	38.3	1.07	47.0	1.30	36	43	-2.3
14	Deportivo Pasto	37	35.5	0.96	41.3	1.12	42	52	+6.5
15	Fortaleza FC	36	34.5	0.96	41.7	1.16	39	52	+4.5
16	Alianza Valledupar	36	34.1	0.95	45.3	1.26	30	56	-4.1
17	Cucuta	34	33.5	0.98	48.5	1.43	40	59	+6.5
18	Chico	36	30.5	0.85	45.8	1.27	28	60	-2.5
19	Jaguares	35	30.3	0.87	51.5	1.47	37	64	+6.7
20	Deportivo Pereira	36	30.0	0.83	55.0	1.53	28	54	-2

xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)

xG Attack Ranking

Atletico NacionalHigh xGF1.50

Once CaldasHigh xGF1.44

MillonariosHigh xGF1.43

Deportivo PereiraLow xGF0.83

ChicoLow xGF0.85

JaguaresLow xGF0.87

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data

League avg xGF/g: 1.14

League avg xGA/g: 1.15

Best overperformer: Atletico Nacional (+18.9)

Biggest underperformer: Alianza Valledupar (-4.1)

Primera A (Colombia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Primera A (Colombia) averages 1.14 xG per game this season. Atletico Nacional creates the most chances with 1.50 xGF per game, while Deportivo Pereira creates the fewest with 0.83 xGF per game. Atletico Nacional is over-performing their xG (82 goals vs 63.1 xGF) — regression likely. Alianza Valledupar is under-performing (30 goals vs 34.1 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Colombia

Copa Colombia xG— Division Silver
Liga Femenina xG— Division Women's Pro
Primera B xG— Division Pro
Superliga xG— Division Underground