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Bundesliga

Bundesliga — xG (Expected Goals)

Austria · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 11 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Red Bull Salzburg1130.22.7511.31.03296-1.2
2Rapid Vienna1126.22.3812.51.14339+6.8
3Lask Linz1123.72.1612.31.122613+2.3
4Sturm Graz1120.41.8613.61.231913-1.4
5Ried1118.61.6918.21.661918+0.4
6TSV Hartberg1117.81.6219.01.732019+2.2
7Grazer AK1114.61.3221.61.97827-6.6
8WSG Wattens1113.71.2520.51.871417+0.3
9SCR Altach1113.01.1814.81.341117-2
10Austria Lustenau1112.51.1326.22.381329+0.5
11Austria Vienna1112.01.0921.71.971022-2
12Wolfsberger AC1112.01.0922.92.08820-4
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Red Bull SalzburgHigh xGF2.75
Rapid ViennaHigh xGF2.38
Lask LinzHigh xGF2.16
Wolfsberger ACLow xGF1.09
Austria ViennaLow xGF1.09
Austria LustenauLow xGF1.13

LEAGUE xG STATS

12 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.63
League avg xGA/g: 1.63
Best overperformer: Rapid Vienna (+6.8)
Biggest underperformer: Grazer AK (-6.6)

Bundesliga (Austria) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Bundesliga (Austria) averages 1.63 xG per game this season. Red Bull Salzburg creates the most chances with 2.75 xGF per game, while Wolfsberger AC creates the fewest with 1.09 xGF per game. Rapid Vienna is over-performing their xG (33 goals vs 26.2 xGF) — regression likely. Grazer AK is under-performing (8 goals vs 14.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Austria