MatchPulse
1. Lig

1. Lig — xG (Expected Goals)

Turkey · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 13 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Kayserispor1327.32.1013.51.04329+4.7
2Keçiörengücü1322.91.7620.21.552518+2.1
3Bandırmaspor1221.01.7513.61.141713-4
4Batman Petrolspor1319.01.4622.51.732623+7
5Esenler Erokspor1318.61.4317.81.371518-3.6
6Manisa F.K.1217.91.4918.01.502123+3.1
7Sarıyer1317.81.3715.61.201418-3.8
8Bursaspor1117.41.587.30.662911+11.6
9Fatih Karagümrük1117.31.5713.91.261616-1.3
10Iğdır FK1216.91.4114.71.221810+1.1
11Muğlaspor1216.91.4117.31.441820+1.1
12Sivasspor1316.81.2918.81.451620-0.7
13Pendikspor1316.31.2521.81.681523-1.3
14Antalyaspor1315.91.2317.71.361920+3.1
15Mardin 19691214.31.1918.91.571812+3.7
16Vanspor FK1213.51.1213.01.081422+0.5
17Ümraniyespor1113.41.2213.51.231411+0.6
18İstanbulspor1212.81.0723.21.941033-2.8
19Bodrum FK1212.21.0216.41.371612+3.8
20Boluspor118.90.8119.31.75526-3.9
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
KayserisporHigh xGF2.10
KeçiörengücüHigh xGF1.76
BandırmasporHigh xGF1.75
BolusporLow xGF0.81
Bodrum FKLow xGF1.02
İstanbulsporLow xGF1.07

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.38
League avg xGA/g: 1.38
Best overperformer: Bursaspor (+11.6)
Biggest underperformer: Bandırmaspor (-4.0)

1. Lig (Turkey) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The 1. Lig (Turkey) averages 1.38 xG per game this season. Kayserispor creates the most chances with 2.10 xGF per game, while Boluspor creates the fewest with 0.81 xGF per game. Bursaspor is over-performing their xG (29 goals vs 17.4 xGF) — regression likely. Bandırmaspor is under-performing (17 goals vs 21.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Turkey