Super League 1 — xG (Expected Goals)
Greece · 2026/27
Greece — Super League 1 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 9 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 9 | 19.1 | 2.12 | 7.9 | 0.88 | 20 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 2 |  PAOK | 9 | 15.5 | 1.72 | 13.6 | 1.51 | 18 | 12 | +2.5 |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 8 | 14.4 | 1.80 | 6.4 | 0.80 | 21 | 5 | +6.6 |
| 4 |  OFI | 9 | 13.7 | 1.52 | 12.4 | 1.38 | 14 | 12 | +0.3 |
| 5 |  Kalamata | 9 | 13.5 | 1.50 | 13.5 | 1.50 | 14 | 18 | +0.5 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 9 | 13.0 | 1.45 | 7.7 | 0.86 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 7 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 9 | 11.2 | 1.25 | 12.5 | 1.39 | 13 | 17 | +1.8 |
| 8 |  Kifisia | 9 | 10.6 | 1.18 | 7.7 | 0.86 | 12 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 9 |  Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 9.4 | 1.05 | 14.4 | 1.60 | 8 | 17 | -1.4 |
| 10 |  Atromitos | 8 | 8.7 | 1.09 | 9.9 | 1.24 | 9 | 12 | +0.3 |
| 11 |  Panetolikos | 9 | 8.0 | 0.89 | 15.1 | 1.68 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 |  Levadiakos | 9 | 7.8 | 0.86 | 8.3 | 0.92 | 3 | 11 | -4.8 |
| 13 |  Volos NFC | 9 | 7.5 | 0.83 | 14.9 | 1.66 | 6 | 16 | -1.5 |
| 14 |  Iraklis 1908 | 9 | 5.8 | 0.65 | 13.9 | 1.54 | 10 | 12 | +4.2 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
14 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.28
League avg xGA/g: 1.27
Best overperformer: AEK Athens FC (+6.6)
Biggest underperformer: Levadiakos (-4.8)
Super League 1 (Greece) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Super League 1 (Greece) averages 1.28 xG per game this season. Panathinaikos creates the most chances with 2.12 xGF per game, while Iraklis 1908 creates the fewest with 0.65 xGF per game. AEK Athens FC is over-performing their xG (21 goals vs 14.4 xGF) — regression likely. Levadiakos is under-performing (3 goals vs 7.8 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Greece
- Cup xG— Division Silver
- Football League xG— Division Pro
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group xG— Division Amateur
- Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs xG— Division Amateur
- Super Cup xG— Division Pro
- Super League 2 xG— Division Silver