Northern Super League — Home Advantage
Canada · 2026
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ottawa Rapid W | +18% | +30% | +5% | 1.92/1.31 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Rise W | +4% | -2% | +9% | 1.08/1.42 |
| 3 |  Montreal Roses W | -3% | -11% | +5% | 1.46/2.09 |
| 4 |  Halifax Tides W | -4% | +12% | -21% | 1.00/1.31 |
| 5 |  Calgary Wild W | -8% | +1% | -18% | 0.91/0.85 |
| 6 |  AFC Toronto W | -27% | -50% | -4% | 1.08/2.08 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Northern Super League (Canada), the average home win rate is 32% compared to 41% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Ottawa Rapid W shows the strongest home advantage, winning 58% of home games versus just 38% away (a difference of +20%). At the other end, AFC Toronto W actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 23% versus 58% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ottawa Rapid W | +30% | 2.58 | 1.38 |
| 2 | Halifax Tides W | +12% | 1.08 | 0.85 |
| 3 | Calgary Wild W | +1% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| 4 | Vancouver Rise W | -2% | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| 5 | Montreal Roses W | -11% | 1.54 | 1.91 |
| 6 | AFC Toronto W | -50% | 0.77 | 2.33 |
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Ottawa Rapid W has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Northern Super League (Canada), netting 2.58 goals/match at home versus 1.38 away — a Scoring Advantage of +30%. In contrast, AFC Toronto W scores more away (2.33/match) than at home (0.77/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -50% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Rise W | +9% | 2.00 | 2.42 |
| 2 | Ottawa Rapid W | +5% | 1.67 | 1.85 |
| 3 | Montreal Roses W | +5% | 1.08 | 1.18 |
| 4 | AFC Toronto W | -4% | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| 5 | Calgary Wild W | -18% | 2.64 | 1.85 |
| 6 | Halifax Tides W | -21% | 1.17 | 0.77 |
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Defence Analysis
Vancouver Rise W has the best home defensive record in the Northern Super League (Canada), conceding just 2.00 goals/match at home compared to 2.42 away — a Defence Advantage of +9%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Halifax Tides W concedes more at home (1.17/match) than away (0.77/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ottawa Rapid W | +45% | 1.42 | 0.54 |
| 2 | Vancouver Rise W | -13% | 0.83 | 1.08 |
| 3 | Calgary Wild W | -17% | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| 4 | Montreal Roses W | -20% | 0.54 | 0.80 |
| 5 | Halifax Tides W | -21% | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| 6 | AFC Toronto W | -56% | 0.31 | 1.08 |
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Ottawa Rapid W has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Northern Super League (Canada), netting 1.42 goals/match at home versus 0.54 away — a Scoring Advantage of +45%. At the other end, AFC Toronto W shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.31/match at home against 1.08 away (-56%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Rise W | +16% | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| 2 | AFC Toronto W | +11% | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| 3 | Calgary Wild W | -10% | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| 4 | Ottawa Rapid W | -20% | 0.92 | 0.62 |
| 5 | Montreal Roses W | -21% | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| 6 | Halifax Tides W | -44% | 0.60 | 0.23 |
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Vancouver Rise W has the best home defensive record in the Northern Super League (Canada), conceding just 0.67 goals/match at home compared to 0.92 away — a Defence Advantage of +16%. Halifax Tides W struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.60/match at home versus 0.23 away (-44%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax Tides W | +35% | 0.80 | 0.38 |
| 2 | Ottawa Rapid W | +16% | 1.17 | 0.85 |
| 3 | Calgary Wild W | +14% | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| 4 | Vancouver Rise W | +5% | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| 5 | Montreal Roses W | -5% | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| 6 | AFC Toronto W | -46% | 0.46 | 1.25 |
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Halifax Tides W has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Northern Super League (Canada), netting 0.80 goals/match at home versus 0.38 away — a Scoring Advantage of +35%. At the other end, AFC Toronto W shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.46/match at home against 1.25 away (-46%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ottawa Rapid W | +24% | 0.75 | 1.23 |
| 2 | Montreal Roses W | +13% | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| 3 | Vancouver Rise W | +6% | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| 4 | Halifax Tides W | -5% | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| 5 | Calgary Wild W | -24% | 1.18 | 0.73 |
| 6 | AFC Toronto W | -30% | 0.46 | 0.25 |
Northern Super League (Canada) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Ottawa Rapid W has the best home defensive record in the Northern Super League (Canada), conceding just 0.75 goals/match at home compared to 1.23 away — a Defence Advantage of +24%. AFC Toronto W struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.46/match at home versus 0.25 away (-30%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Canada
- Canadian Championship Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Canadian Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Canadian Soccer League Home Advantage— Division Regional
- League 1 Ontario Home Advantage— Division Regional
- Pacific Coast Soccer League Home Advantage— Division Regional