Premier League — xG (Expected Goals)
Belarus · 2026
Belarus — Premier League 2026 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 15 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ML Vitebsk | 15 | 26.2 | 1.75 | 11.8 | 0.79 | 56 | 19 | +29.8 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 25.2 | 1.68 | 15.1 | 1.01 | 50 | 23 | +24.8 |
| 3 |  FC Isloch Minsk R. | 13 | 22.0 | 1.69 | 15.1 | 1.16 | 51 | 21 | +29 |
| 4 |  Dinamo Brest | 15 | 21.3 | 1.42 | 20.3 | 1.36 | 48 | 27 | +26.7 |
| 5 |  FC Minsk | 15 | 19.0 | 1.27 | 27.5 | 1.84 | 33 | 40 | +14 |
| 6 |  FC Gomel | 14 | 18.4 | 1.31 | 16.7 | 1.19 | 38 | 29 | +19.6 |
| 7 |  FC Dnepr Mogilev | 14 | 17.4 | 1.24 | 18.7 | 1.34 | 26 | 41 | +8.6 |
| 8 |  Slavia Mozyr | 13 | 17.4 | 1.34 | 17.1 | 1.31 | 34 | 38 | +16.6 |
| 9 |  Baranovichi | 12 | 16.4 | 1.37 | 18.7 | 1.56 | 30 | 43 | +13.6 |
| 10 |  Belshina | 13 | 16.1 | 1.24 | 25.6 | 1.97 | 28 | 50 | +11.9 |
| 11 |  Naftan | 14 | 16.0 | 1.15 | 23.6 | 1.69 | 24 | 65 | +8 |
| 12 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 12 | 15.4 | 1.29 | 18.0 | 1.50 | 35 | 35 | +19.6 |
| 13 |  FC Vitebsk | 11 | 15.1 | 1.37 | 9.5 | 0.87 | 30 | 26 | +14.9 |
| 14 |  Bate Borisov | 13 | 14.4 | 1.11 | 14.4 | 1.11 | 19 | 34 | +4.6 |
| 15 |  Neman | 14 | 13.8 | 0.98 | 12.5 | 0.89 | 33 | 25 | +19.2 |
| 16 |  Arsenal | 15 | 13.1 | 0.87 | 22.6 | 1.51 | 25 | 44 | +11.9 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.32
League avg xGA/g: 1.32
Best overperformer: ML Vitebsk (+29.8)
Premier League (Belarus) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Premier League (Belarus) averages 1.32 xG per game this season. ML Vitebsk creates the most chances with 1.75 xGF per game, while Arsenal creates the fewest with 0.87 xGF per game. ML Vitebsk is over-performing their xG (56 goals vs 26.2 xGF) — regression likely.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Belarus
- 1. Division xG— Division Amateur
- 2. Division xG— Division Amateur
- Coppa xG— Division SemiPro
- Reserve League xG— Division Academy
- Super Cup xG— Division Silver