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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa — xG (Expected Goals)

Poland · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 13 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Motor Lublin1323.81.8317.61.361922-4.8
2Wisla Krakow1323.31.7916.81.292018-3.3
3Wieczysta Kraków1322.81.7523.61.811726-5.8
4Raków Częstochowa1322.81.7526.02.001929-3.8
5Gornik Zabrze1322.21.7112.20.942111-1.2
6GKS Katowice1321.71.6723.51.812519+3.3
7Lech Poznan1120.21.8312.11.103211+11.8
8Cracovia Krakow1319.41.4917.61.351521-4.4
9Slask Wroclaw1319.21.4824.01.851725-2.2
10Radomiak Radom1318.91.4622.61.741529-3.9
11Piast Gliwice1318.21.4025.21.942420+5.8
12Wisla Plock1218.01.5019.01.581218-6
13Legia Warszawa1317.71.3614.31.102311+5.3
14Jagiellonia1117.31.5717.21.561718-0.3
15Zaglebie Lubin1316.41.2619.51.501615-0.4
16Pogon Szczecin1215.71.3118.61.552012+4.3
17Widzew Łódź1214.81.2420.01.661719+2.2
18Korona Kielce1214.61.2117.01.411419-0.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Motor LublinHigh xGF1.83
Lech PoznanHigh xGF1.83
Wisla KrakowHigh xGF1.79
Korona KielceLow xGF1.21
Widzew ŁódźLow xGF1.24
Zaglebie LubinLow xGF1.26

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.53
League avg xGA/g: 1.53
Best overperformer: Lech Poznan (+11.8)
Biggest underperformer: Wisla Plock (-6.0)

Ekstraklasa (Poland) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages 1.53 xG per game this season. Motor Lublin creates the most chances with 1.83 xGF per game, while Korona Kielce creates the fewest with 1.21 xGF per game. Lech Poznan is over-performing their xG (32 goals vs 20.2 xGF) — regression likely. Wisla Plock is under-performing (12 goals vs 18.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Poland